The Championship continues this weekend with an intriguing clash at Pride Park as Derby County host Swansea City in Round 32. The Rams are looking to recover from their recent setback and reignite their push for a playoff spot, while the Swans aim to build on their latest emphatic victory and climb further up the table. With both sides separated by just three points, this encounter promises to be a tightly contested affair between two teams eager to maintain momentum in the second half of the season.

Derby County’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Derby County enter this fixture sitting 11th in the Championship standings with 45 points, just two shy of the playoff zone. Their recent 1–2 defeat to Ipswich Town ended a four-match unbeaten streak, but overall, the Rams have shown consistency in front of goal. They have scored in each of their last 22 matches in all competitions, including 14 consecutive home games at Pride Park. This attacking reliability has been one of their main strengths throughout the campaign.

Across their last five matches, Derby have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 12 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Another notable trend is their strong starts: they have led at half time in 13 of their last 21 fixtures, showing their ability to impose themselves early in games.

• At least one goal scored in each of their last 22 matches.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 games.


• Won at half time in 12 of their last 20 Championship fixtures.

Despite their attacking consistency, Derby’s home form has been somewhat inconsistent, with eight winless results in their last nine outings at Pride Park. However, their ability to find the net regularly keeps them competitive, and they will look to capitalize on Swansea’s defensive vulnerabilities away from home.

Swansea City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Swansea City travel to Derby in buoyant mood after a commanding 4–0 victory over Sheffield Wednesday, a result that lifted them to 15th place with 42 points. That win marked their third success in four matches, underlining a positive run of form that has seen them average 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last five fixtures. Their season record now reads 12 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

While their attacking play has improved recently, Swansea’s away record remains a concern. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last ten away matches, losing seven of those. Moreover, they have trailed at half time in six of their last ten away fixtures, suggesting a tendency to start slowly on the road. If they are to challenge Derby, tightening up defensively will be crucial.

• Three wins in their last four Championship matches.


• Failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last ten away games.


• Lost at half time in six of their last ten away fixtures.

Nevertheless, Swansea’s recent attacking output offers encouragement. Their ability to score multiple goals in recent matches could make this a lively contest, especially given Derby’s open style of play at home.

Derby County vs Swansea City Analysis and Prediction

Both teams come into this match with similar overall records and attacking momentum, which sets the stage for an entertaining encounter. Derby County will rely on their home advantage and consistent scoring streak to regain ground in the playoff race, while Swansea City will look to extend their recent run of positive results despite their away struggles.

Historically, this fixture has been competitive, with Derby winning once, drawing once, and losing three of the last five head-to-head meetings. The most recent clash ended 1–2 in favor of Swansea, suggesting that the visitors know how to trouble the Rams. However, given Derby’s strong scoring record and Swansea’s defensive lapses on the road, goals at both ends seem likely.

Expect a match where both sides create chances, particularly in the second half, as Derby have seen over 0.5 goals after the break in 18 of their last 20 games. The Rams’ ability to start strongly could again be decisive, especially if they can convert early pressure into goals.

Derby County vs Swansea City prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 55% probability.