Derby County welcome West Bromwich Albion to Pride Park Stadium on September 9, 2026, with the Championship fixture scheduled to begin at 18:45 local time. The hosts are looking for a reaction after a heavy defeat in their latest outing, while the visitors arrive after returning to winning ways. Derby are currently 20th in the Championship after taking one win and one draw from five league matches, whereas fifth-placed West Brom have collected three victories over the same period. Despite that contrast, the Rams have an encouraging record in this fixture and remain unbeaten in their last eight meetings with the Baggies across all competitions. With Derby seeking their first home win of the season and West Brom attempting to build on a positive result, this Championship match preview points towards a competitive contest.

Derby County Recent Form and Key Statistics

Derby County return home after losing 3-0 against West Ham United on September 5. That result continued a difficult sequence for the Rams, who have registered one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. During that run, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game.

Their Championship record follows exactly the same pattern, with one victory, one draw and three losses so far. Derby have again averaged 1.0 goal per match while conceding 2.0, underlining the defensive problems that have contributed to their slow start. Their growing injury list, mentioned ahead of this game, adds another complication as they attempt to respond to the latest setback.

There are nevertheless some positive attacking numbers for the home side. Derby have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home matches, suggesting that they frequently find a way onto the scoresheet at Pride Park Stadium. Their games have also produced early action with notable regularity: at least one first-half goal has been recorded in each of their last 11 matches and in their last 10 Championship fixtures.

The concern is that those early goals have not always worked in Derby's favour. The Rams have been behind at half-time in each of their last three home games. They have also avoided a draw in 22 of their previous 23 matches overall and in 21 of their last 22 Championship contests. Those sequences indicate that their fixtures tend to move towards a decisive outcome rather than remaining level.

• Championship record: one win, one draw and three defeats.
• Last five matches: one win, one draw and three defeats.
• Scoring trend: at least one Derby goal in 19 of their last 20 home matches.
• First-half trend: over 0.5 first-half goals in their last 11 matches.

West Bromwich Albion Recent Form and Key Statistics

West Bromwich Albion travel to Derby after defeating Watford 1-0 on September 5. That victory ended a three-match winless run and followed a 1-1 draw with Charlton, giving the visitors renewed momentum before this away assignment. With three wins, one draw and one defeat in the Championship, West Brom have made the stronger start of the two teams and currently occupy fifth place.

Across their last five games, the Baggies have recorded two victories, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in that period. Their wider Championship figures are slightly more secure defensively, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 allowed per match. Even so, they conceded six times across their opening five league fixtures, so the clean sheet at Watford represented a welcome improvement.

West Brom have also been difficult to trail against during the opening 45 minutes. They have avoided a half-time defeat in 18 of their last 20 matches, a trend that contrasts sharply with Derby's three consecutive home games spent behind at the interval. However, the visitors' recent away matches have often opened up after the break, with both teams scoring in the second half in each of their last four away fixtures.

Completely goalless matches have been uncommon in West Brom's recent record. Under 0.5 total goals occurred in only three of their last 13 games, three of their last 11 Championship matches and two of their previous 10 Championship away fixtures. Those figures support the expectation that this contest is likely to feature at least one breakthrough.

• Championship record: three wins, one draw and one defeat.
• Last five matches: two wins, one draw and two defeats.
• Season averages: 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per league game.
• Half-time record: not behind at the interval in 18 of their last 20 matches.

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion Match Analysis

The league records give West Bromwich Albion the stronger form profile, but the historical matchup offers encouragement to Derby County. The Rams have not lost any of the last eight meetings between the clubs across all competitions. In the supplied head-to-head summary, Derby have three wins and two draws, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The latest encounter ended 1-1 on January 23, 2026.

The win probabilities also underline how closely balanced this fixture could be. Derby have a 38% chance of victory, West Brom are assessed at 35%, and the draw stands at 27%. The hosts therefore hold only a narrow statistical edge despite the significant difference between the teams' early Championship records. Derby's strong recent scoring frequency at home may help them challenge a West Brom side that has conceded regularly, although the visitors' attacking average gives them a clear route into the contest as well.

The goals markets are similarly tight. Both teams to score is rated at 52%, while the probability of under 2.5 goals is 51%. The most compelling pattern instead concerns the opening half. Derby's last 11 matches have all contained at least one goal before half-time, including their last 10 Championship games. Combined with their sequence of three straight home fixtures in which they trailed at the break, that evidence makes an early breakthrough the clearest statistical angle. West Brom's ability to avoid being behind at half-time means either side could produce that first-half goal, but the available trends strongly suggest that the opening period will not remain scoreless.

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 73% probability.