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Prediction published on Aug 29, 2026 7:05 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Aug 29, 2026 7:05 PM
Dijon host Saint-Étienne in the final fixture of the fourth Ligue 2 matchday on Monday, August 31, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 at the Stade Gaston-Gérard. The two teams have made sharply contrasting starts to the campaign. Newly promoted Dijon are still searching for their first league victory and sit 17th after collecting two points from three matches. Saint-Étienne, meanwhile, lead Ligue 2 as the only side to have won each of their opening three games. With the visitors already scoring 10 league goals and the hosts yet to establish consistent form, this Dijon vs Saint-Étienne preview points toward an important test for both clubs.
Dijon returned to Ligue 2 after winning National 1 and approached the new season with confidence after going unbeaten across six preparation matches. Competitive action has proved more difficult, however. The promoted side have opened their league campaign with two draws and one defeat, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
Baptiste Ridira's team earned 1-1 draws against Montpellier HSC and Clermont Foot but suffered a 1-0 loss to Pau FC. Their most recent outing was the draw with Clermont on August 21. Across Dijon's last five matches, their record stands at one victory, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those figures demonstrate that the hosts have remained competitive, even though their first Ligue 2 win of the season has not yet arrived.
The home record offers another concern ahead of this fixture. Dijon were beaten 1-0 by Pau FC in their first home league match of the campaign, and they now face the division's most productive attack. Paul Delecroix has started in goal in the last two rounds without recording a clean sheet. Lenny Lacroix could therefore have an important role in the central defensive unit as Dijon attempt to contain the visitors.
In midfield, Brandon Ndezi has started all three Ligue 2 games and remains an important part of the side. Julio Tavares is another option in attack after coming off the bench and providing an assist in the previous match. The 37-year-old will hope to receive another opportunity as Dijon look for more cutting edge in front of goal.
Saint-Étienne could hardly have asked for a stronger beginning to their Ligue 2 campaign. Ian Cathro's side have taken all nine available points, beating FC Sochaux-Montbéliard 3-0, Clermont Foot 3-1 and Grenoble Foot 38 4-0. Their latest victory came against Grenoble on August 22 and extended their perfect start to three league matches.
The visitors are first in the Ligue 2 ranking and have produced exceptional early numbers. They are averaging 3.3 goals scored and only 0.3 conceded per league game. Their broader five-match record is equally impressive: five wins, with an average of 3.6 goals scored and 0.8 allowed. Saint-Étienne have also been ahead at half-time in each of their last three Ligue 2 fixtures, underlining how quickly they have imposed themselves on opponents.
There is nevertheless a clear trend surrounding their away matches. Each of Saint-Étienne's last 11 trips has finished with fewer than four total goals, including all of their last 10 away fixtures in Ligue 2. That record suggests that their strong attacking form does not automatically make an extremely high-scoring contest inevitable. At the same time, only two of their last 10 league away matches ended without a goal, so an early breakthrough remains a realistic part of the match picture.
Gautier Larsonneur will be aiming for his third clean sheet of the season, supported by a defense featuring Kévin Pedro, Julien Le Cardinal, Sohaib Naïr and Maxime Bernauer. In midfield, summer recruit Áron Csongvai has already established an important role. The visitors will be without Chico Lamba, Mahmoud Jaber and Jakob Breum for this fixture.
In attack, Irvin Cardona enters the match in outstanding form after producing four goals and one assist in Ligue 2. Thierno Ballo has also made a decisive contribution in each of the opening three rounds. Their productivity helps explain why Saint-Étienne have reached 10 goals so quickly and why Dijon will require a disciplined defensive performance.
The central question is whether Dijon can slow down a Saint-Étienne side carrying considerable momentum. The hosts have conceded an average of only one goal per league match, but they have yet to face an opponent producing at the visitors' current rate. Dijon must also improve their own output after scoring just twice in their first three league games.
Saint-Étienne's perfect record, three consecutive half-time leads and two clean sheets make them the form side entering this contest. The visitors have shown that they can win convincingly both at home and away, while Dijon have taken one point from each of two draws and lost their only previous home league fixture. The supplied win probabilities still indicate a competitive game, assigning 40% to Saint-Étienne, 34% to Dijon and 26% to the draw.
The historical record is balanced. Across the summarized head-to-head meetings, Dijon have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 2-0 on February 11, 2023. Those numbers offer little evidence of long-term dominance, meaning the current-season form carries greater weight in assessing this encounter.
Goal probabilities also leave room for several scenarios. Both teams to score is rated at 55%, while over 2.5 goals stands at 53%. Dijon have found the net in two of their first three league games, but Saint-Étienne have conceded only once. The visitors' attacking form is the clearest feature of the matchup, yet their extended run of away fixtures under 3.5 goals suggests that control and efficiency may be more relevant than another four-goal display. Overall, Saint-Étienne's winning sequence and superior early-season production give them the stronger case.
Dijon vs Saint-Étienne prediction from BetMines: Saint-Étienne win (2) with 40% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Dijon
Saint-Étienne
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
7
3
8
2