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Dinamo Tbilisi
5:00 PM
July 16, 2026
Mondorf-les-Bains
Prediction published on Jul 15, 2026 3:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Jul 15, 2026 3:02 AM
The second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round sees Dinamo Tbilisi hosting US Mondorf-les-Bains in Georgia. After a 2-1 victory in the first leg, the Georgian side enters this return fixture with a clear advantage and the confidence of playing in front of their home supporters. For Mondorf, this is a crucial opportunity to overturn the deficit and keep their European dream alive, though their recent form suggests the task will be far from easy.
Dinamo Tbilisi approach this match in solid form, having recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five outings. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing a balanced profile between attack and defense. In the Conference League, they have started strongly with a 1-2 away win in Luxembourg, putting them in control of this tie.
Historically, Dinamo Tbilisi have shown consistency in low-scoring matches, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 4 of their last 19 fixtures. Their current European campaign reflects a team that knows how to manage key moments, scoring twice in the first half of the first leg before controlling the tempo in the second. With home advantage and a one-goal cushion, they will aim to finish the job efficiently.
Confidence is high in the Georgian camp, and their ability to maintain composure under pressure could be decisive. A disciplined defensive performance combined with quick transitions in attack might be enough to secure progression to the next round.
Mondorf-les-Bains face an uphill battle after losing the first leg 1-2 at home. Their recent record shows one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five matches, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The team’s defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, and their lack of cutting edge in attack has made it difficult to turn performances into results.
In the Europa Conference League, Mondorf’s campaign began with that home defeat, leaving them with no margin for error. Away from home, their struggles continue — they are winless in their last three away matches and have failed to score in two of them. This poor away form could prove costly against a side as experienced as Dinamo Tbilisi.
Despite the odds, Mondorf will look to approach this match with determination and hope to capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents. However, their lack of experience in continental competitions and recent inconsistency make them clear underdogs in this tie.
The first leg demonstrated the difference in quality and experience between the two sides. Dinamo Tbilisi were dominant early on, taking a 2-0 lead before halftime, and although they conceded once, they managed the game effectively. Playing at home now, they are expected to control possession and dictate the rhythm once again.
Mondorf-les-Bains will need to take more risks, which could leave them exposed at the back. Their inability to keep clean sheets and their limited attacking output away from home suggest that they may struggle to overturn the deficit. The Georgian side’s composure and home advantage make them strong favorites to progress.
Statistically, Dinamo Tbilisi hold a 58% chance of winning, compared to 21% for a draw and 21% for a Mondorf-les-Bains win. The balance of probabilities and recent performances both point toward another positive result for the hosts.
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Mondorf-les-Bains prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Dinamo Tbilisi
Mondorf-les-Bains
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1