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Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 7:04 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 7:04 AM
Dinamo Zagreb host Anderlecht at Stadion Maksimir on October 15, with kick-off at 19:00 local time. Both sides are seeking their first win of the Europa League league phase after different results in their opening fixtures: Dinamo drew 0-0 away to Hapoel Be’er Sheva, while Anderlecht lost 2-1 at home to Lyon. The hosts are ranked 19th in the competition and the visitors 23rd. Recent form gives Anderlecht reason for confidence, but Dinamo’s long unbeaten home run and their record in this fixture make this an intriguing matchday-two meeting.
Dinamo Zagreb took a point from their first Europa League match without scoring or conceding. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 defeat at Hajduk Split on October 10, leaving them with two wins, one draw and two losses across their last five matches. In that spell, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The figures show they have continued to find goals, even if results have been uneven.
Home form is the strongest part of Dinamo’s case ahead of Anderlecht’s visit. They have not lost any of their last 17 home matches and have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 at home. Across all venues, they have found the net in 35 of their last 37 games. They have also led at half-time in 12 of their last 20 home fixtures. Those records offer a contrast to their goalless Europa League opener and suggest the visitors will face a different challenge at Stadion Maksimir.
There is also a favourable recent head-to-head record for the hosts. Across the four meetings covered by the supplied summary, Dinamo have two wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. They are unbeaten in the last three Europa League encounters between the clubs, although the most recent meeting, on December 13, 2018, finished 0-0. Home advantage therefore comes with a note of caution: this fixture has not always produced many goals for Dinamo.
Anderlecht arrive after winning four of their last five matches, with one defeat. Their latest result was a 2-1 away victory over Cercle Brugge on October 10, their second consecutive win. Across those five games, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded. That recent defensive figure is notably lower than Dinamo’s, while both teams have the same scoring average over their respective five-match samples.
The Europa League presents a more mixed picture. Anderlecht began this league phase with a 2-1 home defeat to Lyon, and the source match account notes that they have failed to win four of their last five matches in the competition. The supplied Europa League season figures, meanwhile, list five wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Together, those details underline why their strong recent results should not be treated as a guarantee of success in this away fixture.
Several Europa League trends could matter here. There has been at least one first-half goal in Anderlecht’s last 15 matches in the competition, and they have been ahead at half-time in each of their last three Europa League away games. At the same time, each of their last 10 away matches in the competition has finished with fewer than four total goals. The same under-3.5-goals pattern applies to their last 10 matches overall. Anderlecht have therefore shown an ability to make early progress without their recent games regularly turning into high-scoring contests.
This Europa League preview brings together two distinct strengths. Dinamo Zagreb’s 17-match unbeaten home run is a substantial hurdle for any visitor, and their record of scoring in 19 of the last 20 home games supports their chances of improving on the 0-0 draw from matchday one. Anderlecht, however, have won four of their last five matches and conceded an average of only 0.6 goals during that run. Their recent form makes it difficult to view the hosts’ home record in isolation.
The previous meetings offer another point of balance. Dinamo have the better overall head-to-head record and have avoided defeat in the last three Europa League clashes with Anderlecht, but the latest finished goalless. Anderlecht’s run of matches with fewer than four goals also points to the possibility of a closely contested game. Whether Dinamo can turn their frequent home goals into a decisive result against a side conceding relatively little in recent matches is a central question.
With both clubs still looking for a first league-phase win, the home setting gives Dinamo an opportunity to build on their opening away point. Anderlecht’s victory at Cercle Brugge shows they travel here in good recent form, so the hosts cannot rely on past meetings alone. Even so, Dinamo’s sustained home unbeaten streak, consistent scoring at Stadion Maksimir and head-to-head edge provide the clearest case for a narrow advantage in this meeting.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht prediction from BetMines: Dinamo Zagreb win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Dinamo Zagreb
Anderlecht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
4
6
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0