Dinamo Zagreb host Thun on Tuesday night as Champions League qualifying continues with the tie level after a 1-1 first leg. The return match follows an evenly balanced contest on July 21, 2026, when Dinamo scored late to cancel out Thun’s early advantage. With neither team carrying a lead into the second meeting, both sides remain firmly in contention. Dinamo approach the fixture with a long unbeaten sequence and strong scoring numbers at home, while Thun arrive after recording a 3-1 domestic victory over Luzern. The visitors have also conceded in each of their last 14 matches, making Dinamo’s ability to apply sustained attacking pressure one of the central themes of this Champions League preview.

Dinamo Zagreb Recent Form and Key Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb reclaimed the 1. HNL title by an 18-point margin over Hajduk Split and are now seeking a return to Europe’s leading club competition after missing out last season. Their current form provides a strong foundation for this decisive home fixture: the team have not lost in their last 19 matches, while their five most recent games produced three victories, two draws and no defeats. Across that five-match sample, Dinamo averaged an impressive 3.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game.

The first leg demonstrated both Dinamo’s attacking persistence and the difficulty they faced in turning pressure into clear separation on the scoreboard. After falling behind in the 20th minute, they eventually equalised through Miha Zajc in the 86th minute. Dinamo finished that match with 57% possession, 1.27 expected goals and 20 attempts, six of which were on target. They also won five corners. Those figures show that they generated a substantial volume of attacks, but the late timing of the equaliser underlines how hard they had to work for the 1-1 result.

The broader statistical trends are encouraging for the hosts. At least one goal has been scored by Dinamo in 20 of their last 21 matches, and 35 of their previous 37 fixtures have contained more than 1.5 total goals. Their home games have followed a similarly consistent pattern, with over 1.5 total goals recorded in 19 of the last 20. Dinamo have also held a half-time lead in eight of their previous 12 home matches in the Champions League and in nine of their last 14 home fixtures overall. Those numbers suggest that a proactive start could be an important part of their attempt to take control of the tie.

Thun Recent Form and Key Statistics

Thun won their first Swiss Super League title last season, earning another opportunity to compete in this competition. Their previous appearance came in the 2005-06 season, when they reached the group stage. The current campaign therefore presents a significant European challenge, and the first leg showed that Thun are capable of competing closely with Dinamo. Brighton Labeau put the team ahead after 20 minutes, giving them an advantage that lasted until the closing stages.

Thun recorded 0.92 expected goals in the home leg and attempted 16 shots, although only three tested the goalkeeper. They also earned nine corners, four more than Dinamo, indicating that they created several attacking situations despite having less possession. Conceding in the 86th minute prevented them from carrying a lead into the return fixture, but the 1-1 score means one successful performance can still decide the contest.

The visitors enter this match after beating Luzern 3-1 on July 25, 2026. That was their first victory in six competitive games following one draw and five defeats. Their latest five-match record is listed as one win, three draws and one loss, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In Champions League play this season, both Thun and Dinamo have one draw from one match, averaging one goal scored and one conceded.

Defensive consistency remains a clear issue for Thun because they have allowed at least one goal in each of their last 14 matches. Their away results have also tended to produce decisive outcomes, as they have avoided a draw in 19 of their previous 20 matches on the road. Another relevant trend concerns the closing 45 minutes: more than 0.5 second-half goals have been scored in 27 of Thun’s last 30 fixtures. That pattern is particularly notable after the first meeting was transformed by Dinamo’s late equaliser.

Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun Match Analysis

The first-leg statistics point to another competitive encounter. Dinamo Zagreb had more possession, more shots and more efforts on target, but Thun created enough pressure to win nine corners and protect their lead until the 86th minute. The hosts now have the opportunity to build on their unbeaten run, their reliable scoring record and their strong history of taking half-time leads in home matches. However, the 1-1 result also serves as evidence that attacking volume alone does not guarantee an early breakthrough.

For Thun, the challenge is to improve on a first-leg performance in which only three of 16 shots were on target. Their 3-1 win against Luzern offers a positive immediate result, but it must be weighed against the longer run of 14 consecutive matches with at least one goal conceded. Dinamo, meanwhile, have scored in 20 of their last 21 games and averaged 3.4 goals across their latest five fixtures, so the visitors may need to withstand regular pressure while still finding opportunities to threaten at the other end.

The timing of the goals could again be crucial. Dinamo have repeatedly led at half time in recent home and Champions League matches, whereas Thun’s fixtures have very frequently featured a second-half goal. With the aggregate score level, the match may shift according to which side scores first: an early Dinamo goal would reward their strong-start trend, while Thun have already shown that they can take the lead in this tie. The available evidence presents Dinamo as the team with the stronger recent sequence, but the narrow margins and shared Champions League statistics keep the return leg open.