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Prediction published on Jul 3, 2025 10:50 AM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Jul 4, 2025 1:35 PM
On Sunday, July 6, at Stockholm’s 3Arena, one of the most significant clashes of Allsvenskan’s 14th round takes place: Djurgarden and Degerfors face off in a match that could prove to be a pivotal moment in both clubs’ seasons. The home side, semifinalists in last year’s UEFA Europa Conference League, are going through a tough spell. After picking up just one point from their last two league outings, Jani Honkavaara’s men sit in eighth place with 16 points—13 behind the European qualification spots. That gap has grown, in part, due to the demanding European schedule, which has brought prestige but drained the squad's energy and cost them domestic points. While a run toward third place is still mathematically possible, Djurgarden are increasingly concerned about a more immediate threat: with just a three-point cushion above the relegation playoff spot, the danger of slipping into the survival battle is all too real. That’s why this match against Degerfors carries massive weight. The visitors arrive in Stockholm in full-blown crisis, having lost four straight games. They sit only three points behind Djurgarden and just one above the automatic relegation zone. Tobias Solberg’s side is in desperate need of a turnaround: a victory wouldn’t just draw them level with their hosts but would also shake up the bottom of the table, where margins are thin and every point is critical. Expect a high-pressure showdown between two teams desperate for a result that could shift the course of their season: Djurgarden looking to steer clear of danger and reignite their European ambitions, and Degerfors hoping to regain confidence, points, and breathing room in the relegation battle.
Djurgarden come into this match with low morale. Their last league win dates back to May 29, when they secured a narrow 1-0 away win over Brommapojkarna. Since then, they've taken only one point from two matches. In their latest Allsvenskan outing, the Blue Stripes were held to a 1-1 home draw against Norrköping. Tobias Gulliksen opened the scoring in first-half stoppage time, but Christoffer Nyman equalized in the 59th minute.
That result underlined the team’s current struggles. On June 1, they were defeated 1-0 by Halmstad. Overall, Djurgarden have accumulated only 16 points from 13 matches, with four wins, four draws, and five losses. Their attacking output is particularly concerning: with just 9 goals scored, they currently have the league’s worst attack—averaging only 0.69 goals per game.
Degerfors are in deep trouble, coming off four consecutive league defeats that have dragged them down to fourth-from-bottom. Their latest setback came on June 29: a 3-0 home loss to fellow strugglers Brommapojkarna, in a match where Degerfors failed to register a single shot on target.
Tobias Solberg’s side have collected 13 points from 13 games, with a record of four wins, one draw, and eight losses. Their biggest weakness has been defense: they’ve conceded 25 goals, the second-worst figure in the league (1.92 goals per game on average).
Their away form shows no middle ground—three wins and three defeats from six road games—along with a respectable average of two goals scored per away match.
Djurgarden are clear favorites in this Matchday 14 fixture of the Allsvenskan. According to BetMines’ algorithm, the home win ("1") has a 55% probability, compared to 23% for a draw and 22% for a Degerfors away victory.
Despite their recent form and four straight home games without a win, Djurgarden remain one of Swedish football’s more structured sides. This match looks like the perfect opportunity to restore belief and gather points to push upward in the standings. Adding weight to this prediction is their home record against Degerfors: Djurgarden have won all of their last five home meetings with them at the 3Arena.
In addition to backing the home win, BetMines also predicts that both teams will score, with a 54% probability. While Djurgarden have the league’s weakest attack, it’s worth noting that they’ve scored in each of their last six home games. On the other side, Degerfors have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eleven outings.
Degerfors shouldn’t be underestimated. The visitors have a solid scoring average away from home and could exploit the spaces left open by Djurgarden’s attacking approach to find the net.
DJURGARDEN (4-5-1): Manojlovic; Kosugi, Une-Larsson, Tenho, Bergvall; Siltanen, Alemayehu, Priske, Gullicksen, Haarala; Ngen. Coach: Jani Honkavaara
DEGERFORS (3-4-3): Forsell; Pikkarainen, Ulsson, Ulsson; Diaby, Gravius, Netabay, Lindell; Barsoum, Pilstrem, Faraj. Coach: Tobias Solberg
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Djurgården
Degerfors
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
5
5
9
1