The second qualifying round of the 2026–27 UEFA Europa League brings an intriguing clash between Dynamo Kyiv and PAOK Thessaloniki. The first leg, set to take place at a neutral venue in Lublin, promises to be a tight and tactical affair. Both sides are eager to take a crucial step toward the third qualifying round, where the winner will face either Hammarby or Anderlecht. For Dynamo, this encounter is another opportunity to demonstrate their resilience, while PAOK aim to continue their tradition of strong European campaigns.

Dynamo Kyiv’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Dynamo Kyiv enter this match after a hard-fought qualification in the previous round, where they eliminated Universitatea Cluj on penalties following two goalless draws. Their defensive organization has been a standout feature, as they have not conceded in their last two Europa League fixtures. In their last five matches across all competitions, Dynamo have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Despite their solid defensive record, Dynamo’s attack has struggled to find consistency in Europe, with Under 0.5 goals scored in both of their Europa League matches so far. Another notable trend is their slow starts — they have failed to lead at half time in 21 of their last 22 Europa League games. However, their recent unbeaten run in designated home fixtures (W2, D1) suggests they remain a difficult side to beat, even when playing away from their traditional ground.

• Europa League ranking: 1st


• Last match: 0–0 vs Universitatea Cluj (16 July 2026)


• Season record in Europa League: W0 · D2 · L0


• Average goals scored: 0.0 · Average conceded: 0.0

PAOK Thessaloniki’s Recent Form and Key Stats

PAOK Thessaloniki approach this tie after a series of pre-season friendlies, winning three and losing one. Their most recent outing ended in a 2–3 defeat against FC Twente, but overall, their attacking form has been impressive. In their last five matches, PAOK have achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring an average of 3.0 goals per game while conceding 1.6. This attacking prowess could prove decisive against Dynamo’s compact defense.

Historically, PAOK have been consistent performers in the Europa League, reaching the knockout phase playoffs in the last two seasons. They also tend to perform well in the second half of matches — Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 19 of their last 21 away games. Their ability to stay composed early on is reflected in the fact that they haven’t lost at half time in 20 of their last 22 matches. However, their recent European record shows a slight dip, with a three-game losing streak in the competition.

• Europa League ranking: 2nd


• Last match: 2–3 vs FC Twente (11 July 2026)


• Last 5 matches: W3 · D1 · L1


• Average goals scored: 3.0 · Average conceded: 1.6

Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK Thessaloniki Tactical Overview

This matchup contrasts two distinct styles. Dynamo Kyiv rely on defensive discipline and structured play, often looking to frustrate opponents and capitalize on limited chances. Their recent results suggest a cautious approach, prioritizing clean sheets over attacking risk. On the other hand, PAOK Thessaloniki bring attacking flair and momentum, capable of turning games around through their offensive transitions and second-half surges.

Given Dynamo’s tendency to keep matches tight and PAOK’s attacking rhythm, the first leg could develop into a battle of patience. The Ukrainian side will aim to control the tempo and limit PAOK’s space, while the Greek visitors will look to exploit any defensive lapses, especially after the break. The neutral venue may slightly reduce Dynamo’s home advantage, but their recent unbeaten streak suggests they remain confident under pressure.

Statistically, the game leans toward a balanced outcome. Dynamo’s defensive solidity contrasts with PAOK’s attacking form, and both teams have shown patterns that could lead to a low-scoring but competitive encounter. The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability stands at 57%, while the Over 2.5 goals market also shows a 57% likelihood, indicating potential for goals despite Dynamo’s recent goalless draws.

Prediction: Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK Thessaloniki

Based on the available data and recent performances, this first leg is expected to be closely contested. Dynamo’s defensive resilience and PAOK’s attacking sharpness could cancel each other out, making a draw or narrow home result the most plausible scenario. The Ukrainian side’s experience in tight qualifiers and their ability to remain unbeaten in recent fixtures give them a slight edge in terms of stability.

Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK Thessaloniki prediction from BetMines: Dynamo Kyiv or Draw (Double Chance) with 67% probability.