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Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Sweden - Allsvenskan | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 10:03 PM
Elfsborg host Malmö FF in the Allsvenskan on October 23, with both teams looking to return to winning ways. Fifth-placed Elfsborg drew 2-2 with Sirius in their latest league match, while seventh-placed Malmö lost 1-0 at home to Häcken. The fixture brings together two sides whose league matches have produced plenty of goals: after 24 rounds, Elfsborg’s games have featured 61 and Malmö’s 72. Their last three meetings have also each produced at least three goals. At Borås Arena, the question is whether those scoring patterns continue despite both clubs dropping points last time out.
Elfsborg have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in that span. They are unbeaten in their most recent four, although their attempt to make it four consecutive victories ended against Sirius. Elfsborg went ahead in that game, then needed a late equaliser to secure a 2-2 draw. It was their third straight match to finish with more than 2.5 goals.
Across the Allsvenskan season, the hosts have recorded 11 wins, eight draws and five defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their scoring consistency is particularly relevant to this home fixture: Elfsborg have scored in each of their last 14 home matches, including their last 12 at home in the league. They have also found the net in 23 of their previous 24 Allsvenskan games.
Elfsborg have won the first half in each of their last three league matches, but their games have also frequently seen action after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 35 of their last 38 matches across all competitions and in 32 of their last 35 Allsvenskan matches. Those figures give the hosts reasons to be confident of contributing a goal, without suggesting that the contest must be settled early.
Malmö FF arrive following a 1-0 home defeat to Häcken. Their last five matches have brought three wins and two losses, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their wider league record is less consistent: 11 wins, three draws and 10 defeats, alongside averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
The visitors’ recent away record offers encouragement despite a 2-0 defeat to Västerås in their latest trip. That was their only loss across seven away matches, a sequence that includes five victories. Malmö’s record at Elfsborg is more difficult: they have not won on their last four visits. In the most recent of those trips, they drew 2-2 after leading 2-0 with 20 minutes remaining. Daniel Gudjohnsen scored both Malmö goals and had put them two ahead after 33 minutes.
One detail could shape the opening stages. Fewer than two first-half goals have been scored in each of Malmö’s last 11 matches, including their last 10 in the Allsvenskan. That trend contrasts with Elfsborg’s three consecutive half-time leads in the league. Malmö have shown they can score away from home and build a lead in this fixture, but their latest result leaves them with a response to make.
The head-to-head record suggests a competitive meeting rather than a clear favourite. Across the five matches covered by the supplied head-to-head summary, Elfsborg have one win, two draws and two defeats against Malmö, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest meeting finished 1-2 on July 26, and each of the last three encounters has featured at least three goals.
There are competing signals in the teams’ recent results. Elfsborg’s four-match unbeaten run and reliable home scoring support the hosts, but they conceded twice to Sirius. Malmö have lost their last match and their most recent away game, yet five wins in seven trips make it difficult to dismiss their chances of scoring. The figures for goals across both clubs’ 24 league rounds also point toward an open scoreline, even if Malmö’s run of quieter first halves suggests the scoring could develop later.
For this Elfsborg vs Malmö FF preview, the strongest common thread is the number of goals in their recent meetings and across their league campaigns. Elfsborg’s three successive matches with at least three goals add to that case, while their long home scoring run gives them a platform. Malmö’s away results indicate they can make this a contest, leaving another match with multiple goals a coherent possibility.
Elfsborg vs Malmö FF prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Elfsborg
Malmö FF
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2