The penultimate round of Serie B brings a crucial clash between Empoli and Avellino, two sides with very different objectives but equally high stakes. The home team are fighting to avoid relegation, while the visitors are chasing a playoff spot that could open the door to promotion. With only two matches left, every point counts, and this encounter could define the fate of both clubs in the 2025/26 season.

Empoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Empoli are enduring a difficult period, sitting 16th in the Serie B standings with 37 points. Their recent form has been worrying, with just one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The latest setback came in a 2-0 loss against Venezia on April 25, a result that deepened their relegation fears. Over the course of the season, Empoli have recorded 8 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

The defensive issues are evident: Empoli have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 14 league games, and they have lost at half time in 6 of their last 10 home fixtures. Despite these struggles, the team tends to produce lively matches, with over 7.5 corners taken in each of their last 15 Serie B games and at least one goal scored in the second half in all of them. The home side’s challenge will be to tighten up defensively while maintaining their attacking intent, as they desperately need a win to stay above the playout zone.

• Ranking: 16th place in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Lost 2-0 vs Venezia (April 25, 2026)


• Conceded in each of their last 14 matches


• Over 7.5 corners in last 15 Serie B games

Avellino’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Avellino approach this fixture in much better spirits, currently 8th in the table and holding the final playoff position. Their recent 2-0 victory over Bari on April 24 confirmed their strong finish to the season. In their last five matches, the team has achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Over the full campaign, Avellino’s record stands at 12 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.

The visitors have shown resilience and attacking flair at the right time, producing back-to-back 2-0 wins that have boosted their confidence. However, their defensive line has not always been consistent, and facing an Empoli side desperate for points could expose them to pressure. Historically, Avellino have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture on November 22, 2025.

• Ranking: 8th place in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.2 | Average conceded: 1.0


• Won 2-0 vs Bari (April 24, 2026)


• Head-to-head record vs Empoli: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat

Empoli vs Avellino Tactical Overview and Match Analysis

This encounter promises to be an open and intense battle. Empoli must attack from the start, knowing that only a victory can keep their survival hopes alive. Their inability to keep clean sheets has been a major concern, but their attacking play often creates chances, especially at home. The pressure of the relegation fight could push them to take risks, leaving spaces that Avellino will look to exploit on the counter.

Avellino, on the other hand, will aim to maintain their momentum and secure a playoff spot. Their recent performances suggest a balanced side capable of both defending compactly and striking efficiently when opportunities arise. Given both teams’ recent trends, goals at both ends seem likely, as neither side can afford to sit back. The head-to-head history also supports this expectation, with several high-scoring encounters in recent years.

Empoli’s home struggles and Avellino’s attacking form set the stage for a dramatic match. The hosts will rely on their offensive energy to break through, while the visitors will look to capitalize on defensive lapses. With both teams under pressure for different reasons, this fixture could deliver plenty of excitement and goals.

Empoli vs Avellino Prediction

According to the available probabilities, the 1X2 market shows a slight edge for Empoli with a 46% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 28% and an Avellino win at 26%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option is estimated at 48%, and the Over 2.5 goals market sits close to balance with 48% for Over and 52% for Under. Considering the attacking needs of both sides and their defensive vulnerabilities, the most logical prediction leans toward a match where both teams find the net.

Empoli vs Avellino prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 48% probability.