Empoli’s revival has arrived at the perfect time. On Saturday, November 29, at 15:00, the Tuscan side welcome Bari to the Stadio Carlo Castellani for the fourteenth round of Serie B. The match could mark a turning point for the visitors, who have just made a managerial change in an attempt to reverse their poor form. Bari have dismissed Caserta and appointed Vincenzo Vivarini, recently released by Pescara, in hopes of sparking a reaction from a team that currently sits seventeenth in the table, just three points above the relegation zone.

Empoli, on the other hand, appear to have finally found their rhythm under coach Alessio Dionisi. After a slow start, the Azzurri have recorded back-to-back victories against Avellino and Catanzaro, both without conceding a goal. Those results have propelled them into the playoff zone, now eighth with 17 points. While this is only a first step toward their goal of returning to Serie A, it represents a significant improvement after a difficult opening to the season. The home side will look to build on this momentum and continue their climb up the standings.

Empoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Empoli come into this fixture in solid form, having won 0-3 away at Avellino on November 22. Over their last five matches, they have collected two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Across the season, their Serie B record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.

Defensively, Empoli have shown improvement in recent weeks, but consistency remains a concern. They have conceded at least one goal in 37 of their last 40 games, a statistic that underlines the need for greater focus at the back. However, their attacking play has been lively, particularly after halftime — there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half in 21 of their last 23 matches. At home, the Castellani has been a fortress this season, with no visiting team yet managing to take all three points. This home advantage could prove decisive against a struggling Bari side.

Bari’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Bari travel to Tuscany in crisis mode. Their 2-3 home defeat to Frosinone on November 22 was the final straw for the club’s management, who opted to replace coach Caserta with Vincenzo Vivarini. The new manager faces an uphill battle: Bari have managed just three wins in twelve league games, alongside four draws and five defeats. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, figures that highlight both their attacking inconsistency and defensive fragility.

In their last five outings, Bari have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses — a mixed run that reflects their unpredictable nature. Their biggest problem, however, lies away from home: the Galletti have failed to win in 19 of their last 20 away matches. That dismal record makes the trip to Empoli particularly daunting. The hope is that Vivarini’s arrival can inject new energy and tactical discipline, but expecting an immediate turnaround may be unrealistic given the limited time he has had with the squad.

Empoli vs Bari: Tactical Overview and Match Analysis

This clash brings together two sides heading in opposite directions. Empoli are on the rise, buoyed by recent clean sheets and a growing sense of confidence, while Bari are struggling to find stability amid managerial upheaval. The home side’s attacking trio has begun to click, and their ability to control possession and press high could expose Bari’s defensive weaknesses. Dionisi’s men will likely look to dominate from the start, using their home advantage to dictate the tempo.

For Bari, the key will be resilience. Vivarini’s teams are typically well-organized and compact, but implementing his system in just a few days is a tall order. The visitors will probably adopt a cautious approach, focusing on counterattacks and set pieces. However, given Empoli’s current form and the psychological boost of playing at the Castellani, the hosts appear better equipped to secure the points.

Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides is balanced: two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings, with Empoli averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent encounter dates back to January 2018, when Empoli triumphed 0-4 away. While past results offer little guarantee, they do suggest that Empoli have often found ways to trouble Bari’s defense.

Empoli vs Bari Prediction by BetMines

The most likely outcome is a Empoli win (1) with a 43% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 32%, while a Bari win (2) stands at 26%.