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Empoli vs Cesena Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie B 28-02-2026

Empoli

1 - 1

FT

Cesena

Stadio Carlo Castellani
Ivano Pezzuto
broken clouds 15.96 °C

Prediction published on Feb 26, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Feb 26, 2026 3:02 PM

The upcoming Serie B clash between Empoli and Cesena, scheduled for Saturday, February 28 at 15:00, promises to be a tense and decisive encounter between two sides struggling to find consistency. Both teams are in the midst of a poor run of form, and this match could represent a turning point in their respective seasons. For Empoli, currently sitting in 10th place with 30 points, this fixture is a last chance to revive their playoff hopes. Cesena, eighth with seven points more, will aim to consolidate their position and end a worrying sequence of defeats. The stakes are high, and the pressure on both sides is immense.


Empoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Empoli have been unable to secure a victory in their last seven matches, collecting four defeats and three draws. Their most recent result, a 2-2 draw against Frosinone on February 20, highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. In their last five games, the Tuscan side have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, a balance that reflects their current difficulties in maintaining control of matches.


Across the season, Empoli’s record stands at 7 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their inability to convert draws into wins has cost them valuable points in the race for the playoffs. The home advantage could play a crucial role here, as Empoli will look to capitalize on familiar surroundings to end their winless streak. However, defensive lapses have often undermined their efforts, and tightening up at the back will be essential if they are to take all three points.


Cesena’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Cesena arrive at this match in equally troubling form, having lost their last three games against Spezia, Venezia, and Entella. Their most recent defeat, a 2-3 loss to Spezia on February 21, exposed the same defensive issues that have plagued them throughout the campaign. In their last five matches, the Romagnoli have recorded 1 win and 4 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals but conceding a worrying 2.6 per game.


Over the course of the season, Cesena’s record reads 11 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their strong start to the season has been overshadowed by a recent collapse that now threatens their playoff ambitions. The gap to ninth place has narrowed, and with Sudtirol just four points behind, Cesena cannot afford another slip-up. Their away form has also been inconsistent, and they will need a disciplined performance to avoid further setbacks.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, Empoli have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings, they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding 1.2. However, the most recent encounter, played on January 10, ended in a 0-1 defeat for Empoli, a result that Cesena will hope to replicate.


Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense, and with their respective backlines struggling, this match could produce several scoring opportunities. The attacking departments of both sides appear in better shape than their defenses, suggesting that the game may open up quickly. The high stakes and the need for points could lead to a fast-paced contest with plenty of goalmouth action.



  • Empoli: 0 wins in last 5 matches, 1.2 goals scored per game.

  • Cesena: 1 win in last 5 matches, 2.6 goals conceded per game.

  • Last head-to-head: Empoli 0–1 Cesena (2026-01-10).

  • Empoli unbeaten in 4 of last 5 meetings with Cesena.


Empoli vs Cesena Prediction and Final Analysis


This Serie B encounter is finely balanced, with both sides desperate to reverse their recent fortunes. Empoli’s home advantage could prove decisive, but Cesena’s attacking threat cannot be underestimated. Given the defensive weaknesses on both sides and the urgency to secure points, a high-scoring match seems likely. The statistical trends also point towards a game with multiple goals, as both teams have averaged over one goal scored per match while conceding heavily.


While predicting a clear winner is risky, the most consistent pattern across their recent performances is the frequency of goals. Both teams tend to concede easily, and their attacking lines are capable of exploiting defensive errors. For that reason, the most logical betting angle appears to be focused on the total goals market rather than the 1X2 outcome.


Empoli vs Cesena prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.

Empoli vs Cesena - Predictions

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Empoli vs Cesena: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Empoli

Cesena

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

30%

3

70%

7

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Empoli and Cesena in Serie B

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

10

Cesena

38

12

10

16

45:56

46

1.21

L
L
D
D
L
15

Empoli

38

9

14

15

47:54

41

1.08

L
D
L
W
D
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Empoli vs Cesena: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Empoli vs Cesena be played?
The Serie B match between Empoli and Cesena will be played on February 28, 2026 at 14:00.
Where will Empoli vs Cesena be played?
The match between Empoli and Cesena will be played at Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli - Italy
Who will referee Empoli vs Cesena?
The referee for the match will be Ivano Pezzuto.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Empoli vs Cesena in the Serie B?
The odds are: Empoli to win 2.40, draw 3.20, Cesena to win 3.00.
What are the betting odds for Empoli vs Cesena for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Serie B?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.00 and Under 2.5 at 1.80.
Will both Empoli and Cesena score in the Serie B?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Empoli vs Cesena in the Serie B?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Empoli and Cesena?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Empoli and Cesena, Empoli won 4 times, Cesena won 1, and 0 ended in a draw.

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