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Prediction published on Feb 26, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Feb 26, 2026 3:02 PM
The upcoming Serie B clash between Empoli and Cesena, scheduled for Saturday, February 28 at 15:00, promises to be a tense and decisive encounter between two sides struggling to find consistency. Both teams are in the midst of a poor run of form, and this match could represent a turning point in their respective seasons. For Empoli, currently sitting in 10th place with 30 points, this fixture is a last chance to revive their playoff hopes. Cesena, eighth with seven points more, will aim to consolidate their position and end a worrying sequence of defeats. The stakes are high, and the pressure on both sides is immense.
Empoli have been unable to secure a victory in their last seven matches, collecting four defeats and three draws. Their most recent result, a 2-2 draw against Frosinone on February 20, highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. In their last five games, the Tuscan side have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, a balance that reflects their current difficulties in maintaining control of matches.
Across the season, Empoli’s record stands at 7 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their inability to convert draws into wins has cost them valuable points in the race for the playoffs. The home advantage could play a crucial role here, as Empoli will look to capitalize on familiar surroundings to end their winless streak. However, defensive lapses have often undermined their efforts, and tightening up at the back will be essential if they are to take all three points.
Cesena arrive at this match in equally troubling form, having lost their last three games against Spezia, Venezia, and Entella. Their most recent defeat, a 2-3 loss to Spezia on February 21, exposed the same defensive issues that have plagued them throughout the campaign. In their last five matches, the Romagnoli have recorded 1 win and 4 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals but conceding a worrying 2.6 per game.
Over the course of the season, Cesena’s record reads 11 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their strong start to the season has been overshadowed by a recent collapse that now threatens their playoff ambitions. The gap to ninth place has narrowed, and with Sudtirol just four points behind, Cesena cannot afford another slip-up. Their away form has also been inconsistent, and they will need a disciplined performance to avoid further setbacks.
Historically, Empoli have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings, they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding 1.2. However, the most recent encounter, played on January 10, ended in a 0-1 defeat for Empoli, a result that Cesena will hope to replicate.
Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense, and with their respective backlines struggling, this match could produce several scoring opportunities. The attacking departments of both sides appear in better shape than their defenses, suggesting that the game may open up quickly. The high stakes and the need for points could lead to a fast-paced contest with plenty of goalmouth action.
This Serie B encounter is finely balanced, with both sides desperate to reverse their recent fortunes. Empoli’s home advantage could prove decisive, but Cesena’s attacking threat cannot be underestimated. Given the defensive weaknesses on both sides and the urgency to secure points, a high-scoring match seems likely. The statistical trends also point towards a game with multiple goals, as both teams have averaged over one goal scored per match while conceding heavily.
While predicting a clear winner is risky, the most consistent pattern across their recent performances is the frequency of goals. Both teams tend to concede easily, and their attacking lines are capable of exploiting defensive errors. For that reason, the most logical betting angle appears to be focused on the total goals market rather than the 1X2 outcome.
Empoli vs Cesena prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Empoli
Cesena
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
3
7
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0