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Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 1:07 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 1:07 PM
Empoli host Palermo in Serie B on October 10, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time at Stadio Carlo Castellani. The teams arrive in contrasting form. Empoli have lost three of their first five league matches and are 12th, while Palermo lead the standings after taking 13 points from a possible 15. The visitors remain unbeaten, but the home side have an opportunity to respond to a difficult spell under newly appointed coach Andreoletti.
Empoli have recorded two wins and three defeats in their opening five Serie B games, leaving them with six points. Their most recently listed result was a 2-1 loss to Modena on September 20, and the source article reports two consecutive defeats before this fixture. It also says Pagliuca resigned following that run, with Andreoletti taking over. Facing the league leaders just ten days after his appointment presents the new coach with a demanding first stretch in charge.
The numbers show why Empoli need a change in results. Across both their first five league fixtures and their last five matches, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They have yet to draw in Serie B this season, so their six points have come entirely from their two victories. Against a Palermo side that has won four of its first five league games, improving that scoring average would give Empoli a better chance of ending their losing run.
There is also a concern over Shpendi, who is a major doubt for the match because of an injury. Empoli's recent games have often featured a goal after the interval: there has been at least one second-half goal in 21 of their last 22 matches, including 20 of their last 21 in Serie B. That statistic refers to total goals in those matches, rather than goals scored by Empoli alone.
Palermo travel to Empoli at the top of Serie B with four wins, one draw and no defeats from their opening five league fixtures. Their latest listed result was a 2-1 win over Calcio Padova on September 19. With 13 points already collected, Inzaghi's side have made a strong start to a campaign in which, according to the source article, they are aiming for promotion to Serie A.
Palermo's season averages stand at 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league game. Their last-five-match figures are different: four wins and a draw, with averages of 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Taken together, those records show a side producing goals regularly while still allowing opponents chances to score. The visitors have also led at half-time in six of their last ten matches, another measure of how often they have put themselves in a strong position early.
The source article says Strefezza appears close to recovering, although it does not confirm whether he will be available against Empoli. Palermo's unbeaten opening and recent scoring figures provide the clearest basis for their confidence ahead of this trip. They will nevertheless be facing a home team with a new coach and an immediate reason to seek a response.
The contrast in results shapes this Serie B preview. Empoli have won two and lost three of their first five league games; Palermo have won four and drawn one. The gap is also evident in their season scoring averages, with Palermo at two goals per match and Empoli at 0.8. Those figures make the visitors' attacking record a central consideration, even though Palermo's average of one goal conceded per league game leaves open the possibility of a home response.
The supplied head-to-head summary gives Empoli one win, one draw and three defeats against Palermo across five meetings. It also lists averages of 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded by Empoli in those matches. The most recent meeting finished 3-2 on February 7, 2026, though the supplied result does not identify the winner. That history points to competitive encounters, but current form offers a more direct guide to this fixture.
Empoli's coaching change adds uncertainty: Andreoletti has arrived amid consecutive defeats, yet the available information does not establish what effect his appointment will have on the pitch. Palermo, by contrast, bring an unbeaten league record and four wins from five. Among the supplied prediction options, an away victory fits that comparison more closely than a goals-market selection based chiefly on isolated trends. Empoli will have the chance to challenge the leaders at home, but Palermo's results give them the stronger case going into the match.
Empoli vs Palermo prediction from BetMines: Palermo win (2) with 38% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Empoli
Palermo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2