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Prediction published on Mar 20, 2026 9:08 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Mar 20, 2026 9:08 PM
The upcoming clash between Empoli and Pescara, scheduled for Sunday at 15:00, carries immense weight in the battle to avoid relegation in Serie B. With Empoli sitting 14th and Pescara bottom of the table in 20th, just four points separate the two sides in a survival race that involves nearly half the league. Every point now could prove decisive as both teams fight to secure their place in the division for next season.
Empoli have struggled to find consistency in the second half of the campaign. Their last victory dates back to January 10, and since then, the Tuscan side have collected only draws and defeats. The most recent results — a 1-1 draw against Spezia and another stalemate with Mantova — underline their difficulties in turning performances into wins. The team’s attacking output has been modest, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match over their last five outings.
Across the season, Empoli’s record stands at 7 wins, 12 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Their home form has been particularly concerning, as they have trailed at half time in each of their last three home fixtures. The lack of early control in matches has often forced them to chase results, a pattern that has cost them valuable points. With 33 points from 31 matches, Empoli find themselves dangerously close to the playout zone and in urgent need of a turnaround.
Pescara approach this fixture with renewed confidence and momentum. Once considered doomed to relegation, the Abruzzese side have staged a remarkable recovery over the past seven rounds, suffering only one defeat while collecting four wins and two draws. Their latest triumph, a 3-0 victory over Virtus Entella on March 18, further boosted morale and belief within the squad.
In their last five matches, Pescara have remained unbeaten, averaging 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game — a stark contrast to their earlier struggles. Over the entire season, their record reads 6 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. A notable trend is their attacking consistency in the second half of games: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 29 of their last 32 matches, showing their ability to stay competitive until the final whistle.
With 29 points, Pescara remain at the bottom of the table, but a win here could lift them out of last place for the first time in months. The team’s resurgence has been driven by renewed energy and leadership on the pitch, and they will look to capitalize on Empoli’s fragile form to continue their climb toward safety.
Historically, encounters between Empoli and Pescara have been unpredictable. In their last five meetings, Empoli have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 2.0. The most recent head-to-head ended in a 4-0 victory earlier in the season, a result that Pescara will be eager to avenge.
Empoli’s main challenge lies in rediscovering attacking sharpness and defensive balance. Their inability to hold leads and their tendency to concede early have been recurring issues. Pescara, on the other hand, have shown improved organization and efficiency in front of goal, often finding breakthroughs in the second half. Their current form suggests a team playing with confidence and belief, while Empoli appear weighed down by pressure and inconsistency.
Given the contrasting dynamics, this match could hinge on which side manages to impose its rhythm early. Empoli will rely on home advantage to regain momentum, but Pescara’s recent performances make them a dangerous opponent capable of exploiting any defensive lapse.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Empoli 43%, Draw 30%, and Pescara 27%. The Both Teams To Score – No option is slightly favored (56%), while the Under 2.5 goals market leads with a 61% likelihood. Despite Empoli’s higher theoretical chance of victory, Pescara’s current momentum and attacking form make them a serious threat.
Based on the analysis and recent trends, the BetMines prediction for this match leans towards an Under 2.5 goals outcome, with a probability of 61%. The encounter is expected to be tight and tactical, with both sides prioritizing defensive solidity in a crucial battle for survival.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Empoli
Pescara
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
9
1