The upcoming Serie B clash between Empoli and Reggiana promises to be a tense and balanced encounter. Both sides are struggling for consistency as they meet on Sunday afternoon for the 25th round of the campaign. The hosts are still adapting to life back in the second tier after four consecutive seasons in Serie A, while the visitors are once again fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. With both teams averaging around one point per game, this fixture could prove crucial in shaping their mid-table and survival ambitions.

Empoli’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Empoli have endured a difficult return to Serie B, collecting just 28 points from 24 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats reflects a team struggling to find rhythm and confidence. The home side’s main issue has been turning draws into victories — they have drawn more than half of their home fixtures, showing a cautious approach that often limits their attacking potential.

Recent results underline their poor form: no wins in the last five matches, with only one draw and four defeats. During this stretch, Empoli have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, including a 1-2 home loss to Juve Stabia on February 11. Their season average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded suggests a fragile balance between attack and defense. Ranked 12th in Serie B, Empoli need to rediscover their winning mentality if they want to climb back into the top half of the table.

• Ranking: 12th place


• Last 5 matches: 0W – 1D – 4L


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.4 per match


• Last result: Lost 1-2 vs Juve Stabia

At home, Empoli’s tendency to settle for draws has been costly. Seven stalemates in twelve home games show that while they are hard to beat, they often lack the cutting edge to secure all three points. The fans will be hoping for a more aggressive approach this weekend to end their winless run.

Reggiana’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Reggiana approach this match with slightly better momentum after a much-needed 1-0 victory over Mantova on February 10. That win ended an eight-match drought without success and lifted them to 16th place in the standings. Their season record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats mirrors Empoli’s inconsistency, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

In their last five outings, Reggiana have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring only 0.6 goals per match while conceding 1.2. Despite their struggles, the recent victory could serve as a psychological boost ahead of this trip. Historically, Reggiana have shown they can trouble Empoli — they won the reverse fixture 3-1 in August 2025, proving capable of exploiting defensive lapses.

• Ranking: 16th place


• Last 5 matches: 1W – 1D – 3L


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.4 per match


• Last result: Won 1-0 vs Mantova

However, Reggiana’s away form remains a concern. Their lack of attacking efficiency on the road often leaves them vulnerable, and facing an Empoli side desperate to respond in front of their supporters could make this a challenging test.

Head-to-Head and Match Analysis

The recent history between these two sides suggests a fairly even matchup. In their last five meetings, Empoli have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Reggiana, but that came early in the season when both teams were in different form cycles.

Given their current trajectories, this fixture could be defined by small details. Empoli’s cautious home approach contrasts with Reggiana’s pragmatic style, which often prioritizes defensive solidity. Both teams have struggled to score freely, and with neither side showing consistent attacking form, a low-scoring draw seems a realistic outcome.

Statistically, the Under 2.5 goals trend appears strong, with a 59% probability, while Both Teams To Score – No is slightly favored at 52%. The 1X2 probabilities also reflect the balance: Empoli win 42%, Draw 28%, Reggiana win 30%. These numbers reinforce the expectation of a tight and competitive match.

Empoli vs Reggiana Prediction and Final Verdict

Both teams enter this game under pressure to improve their league positions. Empoli’s home advantage and need for redemption after a poor run could give them a slight edge, but Reggiana’s renewed confidence following their recent win cannot be ignored. The tactical battle is likely to be cautious, with both sides focusing on avoiding mistakes rather than taking risks.

Considering their similar scoring averages and defensive records, a draw seems the most probable result. The match could easily turn into a physical and strategic contest, where one moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse might decide the outcome. However, the overall data points toward a balanced affair with limited goal opportunities.

Empoli vs Reggiana prediction by BetMines:
Draw (X) with 28% probability.