England host the Czech Republic at Wembley Stadium on October 6 in a UEFA Nations League meeting between the teams ranked second and fourth in Group A4. England arrive after a 7-0 win away to Croatia, their second successive victory since opening the competition with a defeat to Spain. Czech Republic have lost all three of their matches in this edition, including a 2-0 defeat to England on September 29. With the visitors still searching for their first point, this England vs Czech Republic match preview centres on the hosts’ scoring form and whether Czech Republic can respond to a difficult start in League A.

England’s Recent Form and Key Stats

England made a forceful statement in Croatia on October 3. They took the lead after eight minutes, were 4-0 ahead at half-time and finished with seven unanswered goals. Their attacking numbers underline the scale of that performance: 6.43 expected goals and 45 touches in the opposition box. Across their three Nations League fixtures, England have scored 11 goals and recorded two wins and one defeat, averaging 3.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.

The result in Croatia followed England’s 2-0 victory over Czech Republic, completing a sharp recovery from their opening loss to Spain. Their wider last-five record is less consistent, at three wins and two defeats, although they have averaged 3.6 goals scored in that span. At least two total goals have been scored in each of England’s last 10 Nations League matches, while England themselves have found the net in 30 of their last 31 matches across competitions.

Home results offer another reason for confidence. England have won five of their last eight home matches in all competitions, drawing one and losing two. They scored at least twice in five of those games and kept four clean sheets. Their starts have also frequently been strong: England have led at half-time in seven of their last 11 home fixtures and have avoided a half-time deficit in 18 of their last 20 at home.

Harry Kane has scored against Spain and Czech Republic in this Nations League campaign, then added two goals and an assist against Croatia. He will equal Peter Shilton’s England appearance record if he features against Czech Republic. Bukayo Saka scored twice in Croatia, with Jude Bellingham, Morgan Rogers and Anthony Gordon also on the scoresheet. Gordon has scored in every match in this edition of the competition and supplied an assist in Rijeka. Nico O’Reilly withdrew from the squad through injury before the Croatia match, while Bellingham, Marc Guehi and Myles Lewis-Skelly are each one yellow card away from a suspension.

Czech Republic’s Recent Form and Key Stats

The step up to League A has been difficult for Czech Republic. They have lost their first three Nations League matches, scoring twice and conceding seven times. Their competition averages stand at 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. The latest setback was a 3-1 defeat to Spain on October 3, when Czech Republic had 31% possession, generated 0.49 expected goals and recorded eight touches in the opposition box.

Their broader form provides little relief. Czech Republic are winless in six matches across all competitions, with one draw and five defeats. Over their last five games, they have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. They have also won only two of their last nine away fixtures since the start of the 2024-25 Nations League. In this competition, they have trailed at half-time in six of their last 10 away matches.

There have nonetheless been goals in their recent games: at least two total goals have been scored in each of Czech Republic’s last 11 matches, and each of those fixtures has featured at least one second-half goal. Those figures describe the matches as a whole rather than Czech Republic’s own scoring output. For this trip, Ladislav Krejci is suspended after his red card against Spain. Pavel Sulc missed that defeat following his dismissal against England, while Vladimir Coufal is a major doubt because of a knee injury.

England vs Czech Republic Match Analysis

The recent meeting gives England a clear reference point: they beat Czech Republic 2-0 on September 29. Across the five head-to-head matches covered by the supplied record, England have three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Their latest result against Croatia showed how quickly they can build an advantage, though repeating a seven-goal performance cannot be assumed.

Czech Republic’s challenge is to contain an England side that has scored 11 times in three Nations League games while finding more attacking output of its own. Their three consecutive defeats in the competition and six-match winless run contrast with England’s back-to-back victories. The hosts’ home record adds weight to their case, but their two defeats in the last five matches are a reminder that recent results have not all gone their way. Taken together, the current Nations League form, the September head-to-head result and the teams’ respective scoring records point to a home advantage.

England vs Czech Republic prediction from BetMines: England win (1) with 64% probability.