Espanyol, hosting Las Palmas in the final day of La Liga, controls its own destiny: with a win, they would be certain of survival, relegating Leganés (third-last, two points behind). The Catalans, coached by Manolo González, started 2025 well, suffering only two defeats between January and mid-April, suggesting they could secure safety comfortably, possibly several matchdays early. However, since late April, Manolo González's team sharply slowed down in the league, suffering five consecutive losses, including the direct clash against Leganés, which dragged them down to 17th place, just two points above the relegation zone with one match remaining. The goal for this last home game is clear: beat Las Palmas to ensure they are not overtaken by Leganés, who face an easier match against bottom club Valladolid. At the RCDE Stadium arrives a Las Palmas side already mathematically relegated and, like Espanyol, coming off five straight defeats. Diego Martínez Peñas’s men, who took over in October from Luis Carrión but failed to get the expected results, want to quickly put behind them a season best described as disappointing, culminating with a return to the second division after two years, unable to replicate the comfortable survival achieved last year.

Espanyol’s Recent Form and Key Statistics

Espanyol come into the match after five consecutive defeats, the latest being a 2-0 loss to Osasuna last Sunday. In these games, they scored just three goals and conceded ten. This marks the sixth consecutive match without a win and with at least one goal conceded; their last victory was a 1-0 win against Getafe on April 18.

After 37 matchdays, Espanyol sit 17th in the table with 39 points, the result of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 18 losses, averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Playing at home is an advantage, as they have accumulated 27 points on their own turf (7 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses), but they have won only one of their last six games at the RCDE Stadium (1-0 vs Getafe).

Las Palmas’ Recent Form and Key Statistics

Las Palmas’ 1-0 defeat in the last round against Leganés, a direct rival in the survival battle, marked their fifth consecutive loss. A major concern in recent games has been their attacking form, scoring just once in the last five matches.

Las Palmas are mathematically relegated to Segunda División due to a disappointing points tally: only 32 points from 8 wins, 8 draws, and 21 losses. Diego Martínez Peñas’s side have the second-worst defense in the league, conceding an average of 1.59 goals per match. Away from home, they come into this game after two 1-0 defeats to Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao. More generally, they have collected just 5 points away from home in 2025 (one win and two draws).

Espanyol vs Las Palmas Prediction and Tactical Overview

Espanyol this season have shown a pragmatic style of play, based on defensive solidity and quick counterattacks. This approach has highlighted the qualities of winger Javi Puado, who has scored 11 league goals. The Spanish player, a product of the club’s youth academy, is likely to be one of the key protagonists in this match.

Las Palmas, on the other hand, have failed to score in their last two away matches, but their defense has generally performed well: they have never conceded more than one goal in their last six away games, including against strong opponents like Real Betis and Athletic Bilbao.

The feeling heading into this 38th round La Liga match is that the home team will patiently wait for the right moment to take the lead, avoiding exposure to the visitors’ counterattacks. Las Palmas will also have to cope without their best attacker, Portuguese Fábio Silva (10 league goals), who is sidelined due to injury.

Given the pressure on Espanyol (who must win to secure survival), a tense and competitive game is expected, with little spectacle and likely few goals, mirroring the first-leg match, which ended 1-0 to Las Palmas on December 22.

For the Espanyol vs Las Palmas prediction, the BetMines algorithm forecasts a match with fewer than four total goals (Under 3.5).

• Espanyol vs Las Palmas prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts a match with Over 3.5 goals at 30%.
  
  
• Espanyol vs Las Palmas prediction from the BetMines Algorithm predicts a match with Under 3.5 goals at 70%.

Espanyol vs Las Palmas Predicted Lineups

ESPANYOL (4-2-3-1): Garcia; El Hilali, Calero, Cabrera, Romero; Gonzalez, Lozano; Roca, Exposito, Puado; Fernandez Jaen. Coach: Manolo Gonzalez

LAS PALMAS (4-4-2): Horkas; Viti, Alex Suarez, Herzog, Marmol; Marvin, Loiodice, Essugo, Moleiro; Ramirez, McBurnie. Coach: Diego Martinez Penas