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Prediction published on May 22, 2026 1:01 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 22, 2026 1:01 AM
The final matchday of La Liga brings together two sides level on points in mid‑table, as Espanyol host Real Sociedad in a fixture that closes a season full of contrasts for both. The Catalan team began the campaign with high ambitions, even dreaming of European qualification, but a long negative run forced them to fight for survival. Two consecutive victories, however, have secured their place in the top flight before this last encounter. The visitors, meanwhile, arrive with the same number of points but with the satisfaction of having lifted the Copa del Rey, which guarantees them a spot in next season’s Europa League.
Espanyol approach this final round in 11th place with a record of 12 wins, 9 draws and 16 defeats in La Liga. Their average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match reflects a season of ups and downs. In their last five league games they have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring and conceding one goal per game on average. The most recent success came with a 1‑2 victory away to Osasuna on May 17, following a 2‑0 home win against Athletic. Those results allowed the team to secure safety with one match to spare.
Despite earlier setbacks such as the 4‑1 defeat at Camp Nou and the 1‑0 loss in Vallecas, the squad has shown resilience. Only 2 of their last 10 league matches ended with under 0.5 total goals, indicating that their games usually produce at least one scoring moment. The probable lineup for this closing fixture includes Dmitrovic; El Hilali, Riedel, Cabrera, Romero; Edu Expósito, Urko, Terrats; Dolan, Kike García and Pere Milla. Pol Lozano is suspended, Javi Puado remains injured, and Ngonge is doubtful.
Real Sociedad occupy 10th position with 11 wins, 12 draws and 14 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their recent form has been less convincing: no victories in the last five league games (three draws and two defeats). The most recent outing ended in a 3‑4 loss against Valencia on May 17. Although crowned Copa del Rey champions after a 2‑2 draw decided on penalties, the team’s league performance has dipped since that triumph.
Defensively, the Basque side have conceded at least one goal in 29 of their last 31 La Liga matches, while offensively they have scored in 26 of the last 28. Their fixtures are often lively: over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 26 of the last 28 league games and in 19 of their last 21 away matches. The expected starting eleven features Remiro; Aramburu, Caleta‑Car, Jon Martín, Sergio Gómez; Turrientes, Soler, Sucic; Kubo, Óskarsson and Oyarzabal. Odriozola and Barrenetxea are sidelined through injury, while Gorrotxategi is a doubt.
This meeting at Cornellà‑El Prat pits two teams with contrasting moods. Espanyol have rediscovered confidence after securing survival, while Real Sociedad arrive with their European ticket already confirmed but struggling for league consistency. The hosts will aim to end the season positively in front of their supporters, relying on the momentum of their recent victories and a more compact defensive structure. The visitors, on the other hand, tend to produce open matches with frequent second‑half goals, suggesting that entertainment is likely.
Historically, the head‑to‑head record favors Real Sociedad with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last five meetings, including a 2‑2 draw in August 2025. However, given the current dynamics, the home side might have a slight psychological edge. Espanyol’s ability to stay organized and exploit transitions could be decisive against a defense that has rarely kept clean sheets this season.
ESPANYOL (4‑3‑3): Dmitrovic; El Hilali, Riedel, Cabrera, Romero; Edu Expósito, Urko, Terrats; Dolan, Kike García, Pere Milla.
REAL SOCIEDAD (4‑3‑3): Remiro; Aramburu, Caleta‑Car, Jon Martín, Sergio Gómez; Turrientes, Soler, Sucic; Kubo, Óskarsson, Oyarzabal.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, this fixture promises balance but also goals. Espanyol have improved defensively and will want to reward their fans, while Real Sociedad rarely finish a match without scoring. The most likely scenario points to a competitive contest where both sides find the net.
Espanyol vs Real Sociedad prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Espanyol
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
9
1
4
6
4.5
9
1
7
3