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Estoril vs Benfica Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 16-05-2026

Estoril

1 - 3

FT

Benfica

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
sky is clear 13.43 °C

Prediction published on May 14, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on May 14, 2026 8:02 PM

The final round of the Portuguese league brings an intriguing clash between Estoril and Benfica at the António Coimbra da Mota Stadium. Scheduled for Saturday evening, this encounter carries significant weight for the visitors, who still have a chance to reclaim second place in the standings. For the hosts, it’s an opportunity to close the season on a positive note in front of their supporters, while the visitors are under pressure to secure a victory and hope for a favorable result elsewhere.


Estoril’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Estoril approach this final fixture sitting 9th in the Liga Portugal table, with a record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats. Their season has been marked by balance in attack and defense, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. However, recent form has been less encouraging: in their last five matches, they have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4. The most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Alverca on May 10, extending a winless streak that has lasted seven matches.


At home, Estoril have struggled to maintain consistency, suffering four consecutive defeats in their last four home games. Despite this, their attacking approach remains one of their strengths, ranking among the top five offenses in the league. Matches involving Estoril tend to start with early action — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of 36 of their last 40 games, a trend that highlights their open and proactive style of play. The team’s objective now is to finish in the top half of the table, which remains within reach if they can secure a positive result in this final round.


Benfica’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Benfica enter this decisive match in 3rd place, having drawn 2-2 against Sporting Braga on May 11. Their overall record in the league is impressive: 22 wins, 11 draws, and no defeats. The team has averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, maintaining an unbeaten run of 27 consecutive games in Liga Portugal. In their last five matches, Benfica have achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.


Despite their strong numbers, recent weeks have been turbulent for the club. A series of draws, including the one against Braga, cost them second place and increased the pressure on the squad. Still, Benfica remain one of the most reliable attacking sides in the competition, having scored in each of their last 13 league matches. Their games are also known for high activity in set pieces — over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 away matches. The team’s ability to dominate early is notable too, as they have avoided losing at half time in 18 of their last 20 matches and have led at the break in six of their last ten away fixtures.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The historical record between these sides clearly favors Benfica. In their last five meetings, Benfica have won four and drawn one, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The most recent encounter, played on January 3, ended 3-1 in favor of the Lisbon giants. This suggests that goals are likely once again, especially considering both teams’ attacking tendencies and the defensive vulnerabilities shown by Estoril in recent weeks.


From a tactical perspective, Estoril will likely rely on their offensive creativity to challenge Benfica’s back line, which has shown occasional lapses despite the team’s unbeaten record. On the other hand, Benfica’s attacking depth and motivation to secure second place could make the difference. The visitors’ ability to maintain pressure and create chances from wide areas may prove decisive, while Estoril’s counterattacks could test the visitors’ defensive organization.


Match Analysis and Betting Outlook


Given the context and recent performances, this fixture promises to be open and entertaining. Estoril’s attacking approach, combined with Benfica’s need to win, points toward a match with opportunities for both sides. The hosts will aim to end their season with a strong display, while the visitors must balance urgency with composure to avoid costly mistakes. Considering the statistics, both teams to score appears a plausible outcome, as Estoril have the offensive tools to trouble Benfica, and the visitors rarely fail to find the net.


Benfica’s unbeaten run and superior quality make them favorites, but Estoril’s home advantage and motivation to finish in the top half could make this a closer contest than expected. The visitors’ defensive record remains solid, yet the combination of pressure and fatigue at the end of the season could open spaces for the hosts to exploit. Expect an intense match with goals at both ends and a strong tempo from the start.


Estoril vs Benfica prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.

Estoril vs Benfica - Predictions

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Estoril vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Estoril

Benfica

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Estoril and Benfica in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Benfica

34

23

11

0

74:25

80

2.35

W
W
D
D
W
10

Estoril

34

10

9

15

54:57

39

1.15

L
L
D
D
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Estoril vs Benfica: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Estoril vs Benfica be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Estoril and Benfica will be played on May 16, 2026 at 19:30.
Where will Estoril vs Benfica be played?
The match between Estoril and Benfica will be played at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril - Portugal
Who will referee Estoril vs Benfica?
The referee for the match will be Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Estoril vs Benfica in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Estoril to win 9.50, draw 5.75, Benfica to win 1.28.
What are the betting odds for Estoril vs Benfica for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.44 and Under 2.5 at 2.70.
Will both Estoril and Benfica score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Estoril vs Benfica in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 0-2, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Estoril and Benfica?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Estoril and Benfica, Estoril won 0 times, Benfica won 4, and 1 ended in a draw.

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