Tools
Estoril
3 - 1
FT
Gil Vicente
Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 3:01 AM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 3:01 AM
The upcoming Liga Portugal clash between Estoril and Gil Vicente promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 23rd round. Scheduled for Sunday at 18:00, this encounter at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota brings together two sides with contrasting recent fortunes. In the reverse fixture back in September, Gil Vicente claimed a 2-0 home win, and both teams now meet again with renewed ambitions — Estoril looking to bounce back from a disappointing defeat, and Gil Vicente aiming to consolidate their top-four position.
Estoril enter this match sitting 9th in the Liga Portugal standings, with a record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats. Their season has been characterized by attacking flair but defensive inconsistency, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. The team’s recent form shows mixed results — 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings — but the latest setback, a 3-0 defeat to AVS, was particularly painful as it came against a side that had not previously won a match this season.
Despite that result, Estoril’s attacking numbers remain impressive. They have scored in nearly every recent fixture, and their matches tend to be open and entertaining. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of 25 of their last 27 Liga Portugal games, underlining their tendency to start matches at a high tempo. At home, the trend continues — over 0.5 goals before halftime have been recorded in each of their last 10 home fixtures. However, defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, and the absence of key defender Kévin Boma due to injury could further test their backline stability.
Coach Ian Cathro will likely look to reinforce his defensive trio, with Longin Bimai, Felix Bacher, and Ferro among the options to fill the gap. The return of Antef Tsoungui after suspension provides an additional alternative, while André Lacximicant remains sidelined as he continues his recovery. Estoril’s immediate goal will be to regain momentum before a challenging trip to Alvalade in the following round.
Gil Vicente arrive in excellent form and full of confidence. Currently 4th in the table, they have accumulated 11 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their recent run has been particularly impressive — 4 wins in their last 5 games — including a crucial 2-1 victory over Sporting Braga that allowed them to leapfrog their rivals in the standings and strengthen their European ambitions.
Under the guidance of César Peixoto, Gil Vicente have developed a balanced and efficient style of play. Even after the departure of key forward Pablo earlier in the season, the team has maintained its attacking potency, netting nine goals in their last three matches. Their defensive organization has also been a major factor in their success, with only 1.2 goals conceded on average across their last five fixtures.
However, Peixoto will have to make adjustments for this match. Marvin Elimbi is suspended after accumulating five yellow cards, while Facundo Cáseres and Tidjany Touré remain doubtful due to fitness concerns. On the positive side, Martín Fernández returns from suspension and could provide an extra attacking option. Gil Vicente’s away form has been solid, though not flawless — under 0.5 goals have been scored in 2 of their last 10 away matches, suggesting that they sometimes struggle to find the net on the road.
This fixture brings together two teams that favor attacking football, which should make for an entertaining contest. Estoril’s home matches are rarely short of goals, while Gil Vicente’s recent performances have shown both efficiency and confidence in front of goal. Historically, however, the head-to-head record leans slightly in favor of the visitors: in their last five meetings, Gil Vicente have won three times, with Estoril winning once and one draw. The average scoreline in those encounters has been 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded for Estoril, indicating that the home side often struggle defensively against this opponent.
Given both teams’ offensive tendencies and the statistical patterns from recent matches, it would not be surprising to see goals at both ends. Estoril’s attacking rhythm, combined with Gil Vicente’s current momentum, points toward a lively encounter where neither side is likely to keep a clean sheet. The home side will be eager to respond after their setback against AVS, while the visitors will aim to maintain their top-four push.
All signs point to an open and competitive match, with both sides capable of finding the net. Estoril’s attacking approach at home and Gil Vicente’s confidence after recent victories make this a fixture that could easily produce multiple goals.
Estoril vs Gil Vicente prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Estoril
Gil Vicente
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
10
0