Tools
Estoril
3 - 3
FT
Moreirense
Prediction published on Dec 5, 2025 5:04 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Dec 5, 2025 5:04 PM
The Estádio António Coimbra da Mota will host an intriguing Liga Portugal Betclic clash this Sunday afternoon, as Estoril welcome Moreirense for the 13th round of the season. The home side, led by Scottish coach Ian Cathro, are eager to bounce back after a narrow 1-0 defeat away to FC Porto, a match in which they showed great resilience despite conceding early. Sitting 10th in the table with 13 points, level with Rio Ave, Estoril will look to take advantage of home support to return to winning ways. Meanwhile, Moreirense arrive in Cascais in 7th place, six points ahead of their hosts, and continue to impress under Vasco da Costa with a balanced and ambitious campaign.
Estoril’s recent run has been mixed, with two consecutive defeats following a strong unbeaten streak earlier in the season. After being knocked out of the Portuguese Cup by Famalicão (1-2) and losing narrowly to Porto (0-1), the Canarinhos are determined to rediscover their rhythm. Over their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. In the league, their overall record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
At home, Estoril have shown flashes of attacking creativity, often pressing high and maintaining strong positional play. However, they will be without key midfielder Jordan Holsgrove, suspended after accumulating five yellow cards. Injuries also sideline Xeka and Gonçalo Costa. The team’s main attacking threats include Yanis Begraoui, the club’s top scorer with five goals, and João Carvalho, who has contributed three goals from midfield. Defensively, Felix Bacher and Kévin Boma have been crucial in maintaining structure and stability at the back.
Estoril have been involved in lively first halves this season, with over 0.5 goals scored before halftime in their last 10 matches. However, they have also trailed at halftime in six of those games, a trend Cathro will hope to reverse in front of the home crowd.
Moreirense’s campaign has been one of consistency and ambition. Despite a slight dip in recent weeks, they remain within touching distance of the European qualification spots, just four points behind fourth-placed Gil Vicente. Their last six matches across all competitions have produced only one victory — a 2-0 win over Arouca — alongside two defeats and three draws. Most recently, they drew 2-2 at home against Famalicão, showing strong character by coming from behind twice.
In Liga Portugal, Moreirense’s record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their attacking play has been consistent, with over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 10 league games. The team also tends to produce late drama, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 league matches, including away fixtures.
Coach Vasco da Costa faces some selection challenges, with central defender Maracás suspended following a red card, and forwards Yan Lincon and Joel Jorquera sidelined through injury. Nevertheless, the visitors boast several standout performers. Striker Guilherme Schettine has been in excellent form with eight goals this season, while full-back Dinis Pinto has contributed five assists and one goal. The midfield pairing of Alan and Stjepanovic provides balance and creativity, helping Moreirense maintain their positive, possession-based style.
This fixture promises to be an entertaining and evenly matched contest between two sides that favor attacking football. Estoril will look to exploit their home advantage by pressing high and maintaining fluid movement between the lines, aiming to unsettle a Moreirense defense missing its key centre-back. The hosts’ ability to convert chances will be crucial, especially given their recent struggles to turn possession into goals against stronger opponents.
Moreirense, on the other hand, travel with confidence and a clear attacking identity. Their recent matches have been open and full of goals, and they will likely approach this game with the same offensive mindset. The attacking trio led by Schettine could pose serious problems for Estoril’s backline, particularly in transition. However, defensive absences might leave them vulnerable to Estoril’s quick combinations in the final third.
Historically, this has been a balanced matchup. The last head-to-head ended 2-2 in May 2025, and across their last five meetings, Estoril have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given both teams’ current form and attacking tendencies, another high-scoring encounter seems likely.
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 59% probability. Both sides have shown attacking consistency and defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting that goals at both ends are highly probable in this Liga Portugal clash.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Estoril
Moreirense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2