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Estoril vs Moreirense Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 25-10-2026

Estoril

3:30 PM

October 25, 2026

Moreirense

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Carlos André Fernandes Macedo
broken clouds °C

Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 4:40 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 4:40 PM

Estoril host Moreirense on Sunday, October 25, in the ninth round of Liga Portugal. Kick-off is scheduled for 15:30 at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Estoril enter the match in 18th place with only two points from eight league games and are still looking for their first win of the season. Moreirense are 12th with eight points, but they have also found results difficult to come by recently. With both sides struggling to score, this fixture brings together two teams eager for a result and wary of another setback.

Estoril's Recent Form and Key Stats

Estoril have drawn two and lost six of their first eight Liga Portugal matches. Those results have left them bottom of the table, while their league averages of 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game show why victories have been elusive. Across their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded two draws and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game.

Their winless sequence now stands at 17 matches, including 16 in Liga Portugal. Even their latest cup outing did not produce a victory in normal time: Estoril drew 1-1 with Salgueiros on October 18 before progressing on penalties. Vasco Matos's side need the points against Moreirense, but their limited output in attack makes that task difficult. They have scored just four league goals in eight rounds, including only two across their four home fixtures. Those home goals came against Famalicão and Casa Pia.

There are also questions over how quickly Estoril can take control of a match. They have not won at half-time in their last 16 games and have trailed at the interval in nine of their last 14 Liga Portugal fixtures. Another slow start would put extra pressure on a side already chasing its first league success.

Fabrício Garcia is unavailable because of a ligament injury to his right knee. Israel Salazar, Xeka and Stelios have recently returned from injuries but are not yet at their ideal physical level, while Ferro is available again after suspension. In attack, Yanis Begraoui has scored half of Estoril's league goals so far. João Carvalho and Rafik Guitane are also important to their attacking play, though the team needs more consistent end product.

Moreirense's Recent Form and Key Stats

Moreirense travel to Estoril with two wins, two draws and four defeats from their opening eight league games. Their eight-point total gives them a six-point advantage over the hosts, but their recent results offer little reason for complacency. Across their last five matches, they have won once, drawn once and lost three times, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.

Positive results against Marítimo and Vitória SC were followed by a 1-0 home defeat to Gil Vicente. Moreirense then lost 1-0 away to AVS on October 17, a result that ended their Taça de Portugal campaign. They have scored only once in their last three matches, with that goal coming against Vitória SC. Their season-long league averages of one goal scored and 1.9 conceded per game underline the need to improve at both ends.

The visitors have also trailed at half-time in six of their last 10 away matches. Avoiding another early deficit could be especially important against Estoril, even if the hosts have had attacking problems of their own. Moreirense have an opportunity to move further clear of the bottom of the table, but their recent scoring record suggests they cannot rely on producing many chances.

Dinis Pinto is a doubt for the trip after missing the AVS match, although he trained without restrictions in the latest session and is due to be assessed before kick-off. Leandro Santos could retain his place if Pinto is not ready. Maracas brings experience in defence, while Kiko Bondoso has been an influential figure in Moreirense's attacking play alongside Vonic.

Estoril vs Moreirense Match Analysis

Both teams have reasons to approach this Liga Portugal meeting carefully. Estoril urgently need a win, yet four goals in eight league games and two in four home matches show the challenge they face in turning pressure into goals. Moreirense have more points and can take encouragement from their position above the hosts, but a run of one goal in three matches leaves their attack under scrutiny too.

The recent meetings do not give Estoril a clear edge: their five-match head-to-head record against Moreirense stands at no wins, three draws and two defeats. The latest encounter finished 1-0 on April 20. For this match, the immediate scoring trends may be more telling than the wider head-to-head figures. If neither side finds an early breakthrough, the value of keeping a clean sheet could shape how much risk each is willing to take.

Estoril's need for three points may eventually require them to push forward, while Moreirense will be looking to respond to consecutive 1-0 defeats. Neither side, however, arrives with strong recent attacking numbers. That makes a closely contested match with few goals a reasonable expectation, even though Estoril's urgency gives the home side a clear incentive to seek a winner.

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.

Estoril vs Moreirense - Predictions

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Estoril vs Moreirense: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Estoril

Moreirense

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

100%

10

0%

0

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Estoril and Moreirense in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

12

Moreirense

8

2

2

4

8:15

8

1

L
L
W
D
L
18

Estoril

8

0

2

6

4:12

2

0.25

L
D
L
L
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Estoril vs Moreirense: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Estoril vs Moreirense be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Estoril and Moreirense will be played on October 25, 2026 at 15:30.
Where will Estoril vs Moreirense be played?
The match between Estoril and Moreirense will be played at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril - Portugal
Who will referee Estoril vs Moreirense?
The referee for the match will be Carlos André Fernandes Macedo.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Estoril vs Moreirense in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Estoril to win 1.90, draw 3.60, Moreirense to win 3.75.
What are the betting odds for Estoril vs Moreirense for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.95 and Under 2.5 at 1.85.
Will both Estoril and Moreirense score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Estoril vs Moreirense in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Estoril and Moreirense?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Estoril and Moreirense, Estoril won 0 times, Moreirense won 2, and 3 ended in a draw.

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