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Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 22-03-2026

Estoril

1 - 2

FT

Rio Ave

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
André Filipe Domingues Narciso
light rain 18.16 °C

Prediction published on Mar 21, 2026 1:12 AM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Mar 21, 2026 1:12 AM

The upcoming clash between Estoril and Rio Ave promises to deliver an entertaining encounter full of attacking intent and ambition. Scheduled for Sunday at 15:30, this fixture corresponds to the 27th round of the Liga Portugal Betclic. The home side are still chasing a potential European qualification spot, while the visitors aim to continue their recent revival and distance themselves from the lower part of the table. Both teams have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, suggesting a balanced and open contest at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.


Estoril’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Estoril approach this match in 7th place in Liga Portugal, with a record of 10 wins, 7 draws and 9 defeats. The team averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, reflecting a dynamic and attack-minded style. Their last five matches have produced two victories, one draw and two losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. In their most recent outing, Estoril earned a valuable 1-0 away win against Nacional on March 15, a result that boosted confidence after a goalless draw with Casa Pia.


At home, the team tends to play with intensity and offensive flair, often creating numerous opportunities. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of 22 of their last 24 matches, showing their tendency to start games strongly. The squad’s morale is high, especially after keeping two consecutive clean sheets. With 47 goals scored this season, Estoril’s attacking unit remains one of their main strengths, while the defense continues to seek greater consistency.


Several players have stood out in recent weeks, particularly Yanis Begraoui, who has already reached 17 goals in the league, and Rafik Guitane, whose creativity on the wing often unlocks opposing defenses. In midfield, João Carvalho and Jordan Holsgrove provide technical balance and control. The only confirmed absence is defender Kévin Boma, still recovering from injury, but the rest of the squad is expected to be available for selection.


Rio Ave’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Rio Ave have shown clear signs of recovery after a difficult period earlier in the season. They currently sit 12th in the table with 27 points, having recorded 6 wins, 9 draws and 11 defeats. The team averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their last five games have produced two wins, one draw and two losses, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent result was a 2-1 home victory over Estrela Amadora on March 15, extending their unbeaten run to three matches.


Confidence within the squad has grown significantly, especially after back-to-back wins against Estrela Amadora and Tondela. The team’s improved defensive organization and renewed attacking efficiency have been key factors in this turnaround. Only one player, Aguilera, remains unavailable due to injury, while Lomboto and Spikic are doubtful. The standout performer has been Jalen Blesa, who has scored in consecutive matches and already has four goals since joining in the winter transfer window. His form has been instrumental in Rio Ave’s recent success.


Historically, Rio Ave have struggled against Estoril, with the last head-to-head ending in a 0-4 defeat on November 1, 2025. Overall, Estoril have dominated recent meetings, winning three and drawing two of the last five encounters, averaging 2.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per match. However, the visitors’ current momentum suggests they could pose a greater challenge this time around.


Estoril vs Rio Ave Tactical Overview


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar motivations. Estoril will look to impose their attacking rhythm, using home advantage to push forward and maintain pressure on the top six. Their offensive transitions and wide play are likely to be central to their approach. Meanwhile, Rio Ave will rely on compact defensive organization and quick counterattacks, hoping to exploit the spaces left behind by Estoril’s adventurous style.


Given Estoril’s tendency to start matches strongly and Rio Ave’s recent improvement in attack, the conditions are set for an open and competitive game. Both sides have shown vulnerabilities in defense, which could lead to several goal-scoring opportunities at both ends. The balance between Estoril’s offensive ambition and Rio Ave’s renewed confidence may produce a lively and unpredictable contest.



  • Estoril ranking: 7th in Liga Portugal

  • Rio Ave ranking: 12th in Liga Portugal

  • Last head-to-head: Estoril 4–0 Rio Ave (2025-11-01)

  • Estoril average goals: 1.8 scored, 1.6 conceded

  • Rio Ave average goals: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded

  • BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability: 52%

  • Over 2.5 goals probability: 52%


Estoril vs Rio Ave Prediction


Considering the attacking mindset of both teams and their recent performances, this match is expected to feature goals at both ends. Estoril have been consistent in creating chances, while Rio Ave arrive in good form, led by an in-form striker. The statistics also support an open game, with both teams scoring in a majority of recent fixtures. Therefore, the most likely scenario points towards an entertaining encounter with opportunities for both sides to find the net.


Estoril vs Rio Ave prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.

Estoril vs Rio Ave - Predictions

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Estoril vs Rio Ave: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Estoril

Rio Ave

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Estoril and Rio Ave in Liga Portugal

Who will win ?

Estoril vs Rio Ave: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Estoril vs Rio Ave be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Estoril and Rio Ave will be played on March 22, 2026 at 15:30.
Where will Estoril vs Rio Ave be played?
The match between Estoril and Rio Ave will be played at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril - Portugal
Who will referee Estoril vs Rio Ave?
The referee for the match will be André Filipe Domingues Narciso.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Estoril vs Rio Ave in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Estoril to win 1.72, draw 3.80, Rio Ave to win 4.50.
What are the betting odds for Estoril vs Rio Ave for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.66 and Under 2.5 at 2.15.
Will both Estoril and Rio Ave score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Estoril vs Rio Ave in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Estoril and Rio Ave?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Estoril and Rio Ave, Estoril won 3 times, Rio Ave won 0, and 2 ended in a draw.

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