Estrela Amadora host Casa Pia at Estádio José Gomes on October 24 for the ninth round of Liga Portugal. Kick-off is scheduled for 14:30 local time. The two sides are separated by six points after eight league matches: Estrela sit 10th with 10 points, while Casa Pia are 17th with four. Both are seeking points in their fight to remain in the top flight, but the visitors face the greater pressure after six defeats in their opening eight league games. Estrela have also lost momentum after a six-match unbeaten start to the campaign, making this an important opportunity to respond at home.

Estrela Amadora's Recent Form and Key Stats

Estrela Amadora began their league season by collecting points in six consecutive games, but back-to-back defeats have interrupted that run. They lost 2-0 at home to Académico Viseu before a 1-0 defeat at Arouca. In the latter match, Ianis Stoica missed a penalty in first-half stoppage time. Estrela returned to winning ways in the Taça de Portugal, beating Fazendense 2-1 on October 17, and now turn their attention back to the league.

Their eight-match Liga Portugal record stands at two wins, four draws and two losses. Estrela have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per league game, figures that show both their attacking output and their difficulty keeping opponents out. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.6 per game on average. Those recent results give them reason to seek a sharper performance against Casa Pia, particularly after failing to score in their last two league outings.

Casa Pia's Recent Form and Key Stats

Casa Pia arrive with a more difficult league record: one win, one draw and six defeats from eight matches. They picked up their first Liga Portugal victory with a 2-1 result against Estoril, then lost 1-0 to Santa Clara after conceding in stoppage time. Their latest outing brought a 1-0 Taça de Portugal win against Alpendorada on October 18. That cup result offers encouragement, although Casa Pia still need to carry it into a league campaign that has yielded just four points.

Scoring has been Casa Pia's clearest problem in the league. They have averaged 0.4 goals per game while conceding 2.1. Their last five matches across the supplied form record brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their away games have also included scoreless contests: three of their last 11 Liga Portugal away matches finished with no goals, as did three of their last 12 away matches across the broader record. That pattern is worth considering alongside Estrela's higher-scoring league figures.

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Match Analysis

Estrela's six-point advantage reflects the difference between the teams' league starts, but neither side comes into this fixture with uninterrupted momentum. The hosts have lost two consecutive league matches, while Casa Pia followed their first league win with another defeat. Both then won in the Taça de Portugal. Returning to Liga Portugal, Estrela will look to make their home fixture count, whereas Casa Pia have a chance to narrow the gap to a direct rival.

The goal statistics offer competing signals. Estrela's league games feature averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded by the team, suggesting openings at both ends. Casa Pia, however, have scored only 0.4 per league game, and their record includes several goalless away fixtures. The last head-to-head ended 2-1 on July 18, while the supplied five-match head-to-head summary gives Estrela two wins and Casa Pia three, with no draws. Those meetings show that neither side has dominated the series, but Casa Pia's limited league scoring remains a significant factor in assessing this match.

Estrela's attacking average and Casa Pia's goals-conceded figure leave room for the hosts to create chances. Whether the visitors can contribute at the other end is less certain. Casa Pia's recent cup win was another one-goal result, and Estrela's last two league defeats were decided without either side scoring more than twice. A close contest is therefore plausible despite the hosts' comparatively lively season-long goal averages.

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.