The final match of round 18 in Liga Portugal brings a lively neighbourhood clash as Estrela Amadora host Estoril at the Estádio José Gomes. Both sides are separated by just one point in the table, with the home team sitting 12th on 19 points and the visitors 10th on 20. The encounter promises to be balanced, with both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks and aiming to consolidate their mid-table positions.

Estrela Amadora’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Estrela Amadora approach this fixture in good spirits after a thrilling 3-3 draw against Sporting Braga earlier this month. Under the guidance of João Nuno, the team have lost only once in their last eight league matches, showing resilience and improved consistency. Their recent five-match record stands at two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Across the season, Estrela have collected four wins, seven draws and six losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their attacking approach has made them entertaining to watch, though defensive lapses have occasionally cost them points. Interestingly, only three of their last fourteen league games have ended with under 0.5 total goals, confirming their tendency to produce open contests.

At home, the tricolour side have been competitive, often relying on their energetic forward play. The departure of striker Kikas and midfielder Ngom may affect their attacking depth, but the emergence of Ianis Stoica offers a promising alternative. With confidence high after recent results, Estrela will look to extend their unbeaten run and climb further away from the relegation zone.

Estoril’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Estoril travel to Amadora after a 3-1 defeat against Benfica, a result that ended their short winning streak. Despite that setback, Ian Cathro’s men remain in the top half of the table with 20 points, having recorded five wins, five draws and seven losses this season. Their attacking numbers are solid, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match, but defensive issues persist with 1.7 goals conceded on average.

In their last five outings, Estoril have achieved two victories, one draw and two defeats, scoring 1.8 goals per game while conceding 2.2. Their away form, however, remains a concern: the team hold the second-worst record on the road in Liga Portugal, with only five points collected away from home. Still, their matches tend to be lively — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last fifteen league games, and over 1.5 goals have been recorded in nineteen of their last twenty away fixtures.

Injuries to Xeka and Gonçalo Costa limit Cathro’s options, while Israelov remains doubtful. The Togolese defender Boma continues to attract attention for his performances, and Begraoui has been the main attacking reference. Creative midfielder João Carvalho provides the link between midfield and attack, often dictating the tempo for the “canarinhos”.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent history between these two sides suggests a balanced contest. In their last five meetings, Estrela Amadora have won once, drawn once and lost three times, averaging one goal scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their most recent encounter ended 1-1 in August 2025, a result that reflected the competitive nature of this fixture.

Both teams tend to play proactive football, favouring attacking transitions over cautious buildup. Estrela’s home advantage and current momentum could give them a slight edge, but Estoril’s offensive potential ensures that the visitors will also create chances. Given the attacking profiles and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, goals are expected at the Estádio José Gomes.

• Estrela Amadora: unbeaten in 3 league matches.


• Estoril: over 0.5 goals at half time in last 15 league games.


• Average goals per match — Estrela Amadora: 3.0 (scored + conceded combined).


• Average goals per match — Estoril: 3.4 (scored + conceded combined).

Estrela Amadora vs Estoril Prediction and Final Analysis

Everything points towards an entertaining and evenly matched encounter. Estrela’s recent consistency and home support could make them slightly more confident, while Estoril’s attacking style and tendency to produce high-scoring games suggest that both teams will find the net. The statistics reinforce this view: Estoril’s last twenty away matches have almost always featured goals in both halves, and Estrela’s recent fixtures have rarely ended goalless.

Considering the offensive momentum of both sides and their defensive fragility, the most logical prediction is that both teams will score. This outcome aligns with the overall trend of their recent performances and the balance reflected in the league standings.

Estrela Amadora vs Estoril prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.