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Prediction published on Apr 28, 2026 8:02 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on Apr 28, 2026 8:02 AM
The third round of the Copa Libertadores brings an exciting clash between Estudiantes de La Plata and Flamengo at the Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. The Argentine side will be eager to avenge last season’s elimination at the hands of the Brazilian champions, while the visitors arrive as one of the most dominant forces in South American football. Both teams are in excellent form, which promises a high-quality encounter filled with tactical discipline and intensity.
Estudiantes approach this match in solid shape, remaining unbeaten in their last five games across all competitions, with three wins and two draws. Their average of 1.2 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match highlights a balanced and compact team. In the current Copa Libertadores campaign, they have recorded one win and one draw, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding just 1.0.
Defensive consistency has been the cornerstone of their success. The team has seen Under 3.5 goals in 34 of their last 36 matches, and Under 1.5 goals at half time in 29 of their last 31. This pattern suggests a cautious approach early in games, often focusing on maintaining structure before pushing forward. Moreover, Estudiantes have drawn at half time in seven of their last eight home matches, showing how tight their first halves tend to be.
Playing at home has been a major advantage for the Argentine side. They have lost only two of their last ten home fixtures in all competitions, turning their stadium into a reliable fortress. Their defensive record is particularly impressive, with just nine goals conceded in their last seventeen matches across tournaments. Despite a few absences, including key defensive players, Estudiantes still rely on collective organization and the leadership of experienced figures to maintain their resilience.
Flamengo arrive in La Plata in exceptional form, having won their last five matches in all competitions. Their attacking power has been remarkable, averaging 2.8 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.6. In the Copa Libertadores, they have been flawless so far, with two wins out of two, averaging 3.0 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per match.
The Brazilian champions have shown a strong defensive identity as well. In their last thirteen away matches in the Libertadores, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded, and Under 2.5 goals in the last eleven. This indicates that while Flamengo are capable of scoring heavily, they also manage games efficiently when playing away from home. They have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures in the competition, reflecting their ability to control the tempo early on.
Offensively, Flamengo’s rhythm has been relentless. They have scored in each of their last twelve matches, with Over 1.5 goals consistently appearing in that stretch. Their attacking combinations have been decisive, and their squad depth allows them to maintain intensity throughout the full ninety minutes. Even when facing strong defensive sides, Flamengo’s creativity and pace often make the difference.
The recent history between Estudiantes and Flamengo is balanced, with one win each in their last two meetings and an average of one goal scored per team. Their previous encounter ended 1-0, showing how tight and tactical these clashes can be. Given both teams’ defensive discipline and current form, another close contest is expected.
Estudiantes will likely rely on their compact defensive structure and quick transitions, aiming to exploit spaces left by Flamengo’s attacking full-backs. Their ability to remain organized and patient could be key to frustrating the visitors. On the other hand, Flamengo’s attacking depth and confidence make them dangerous from the first minute. Their recent streak of seven consecutive victories across competitions demonstrates their efficiency and mental strength.
Both sides have shown a tendency toward low-scoring first halves, with Under 1.5 goals before the break appearing frequently in their recent games. However, Flamengo’s offensive momentum could tilt the balance as the match progresses, especially if they manage to impose their rhythm and stretch Estudiantes’ defensive lines.
This Copa Libertadores fixture promises a fascinating battle between two well-organized teams. Estudiantes’ defensive solidity and home advantage could keep the game balanced for long periods, but Flamengo’s superior attacking form and consistency make them slight favorites. The visitors’ ability to manage away matches and their unbeaten run suggest they have the tools to secure another important victory.
Considering the statistical trends and current momentum, the match is likely to feature few goals in the first half, with the decisive moments coming later. Estudiantes will aim to protect their unbeaten record, while Flamengo will look to extend their winning streak and strengthen their position at the top of the group.
BetMines prediction for Estudiantes de La Plata vs Flamengo:
Flamengo win (2) with 42% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Estudiantes
Flamengo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
8
2
6
4
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0