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Estudiantes
10:00 PM
August 31, 2026
Newell's Old Boys
Prediction published on Aug 29, 2026 10:03 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Aug 29, 2026 10:03 PM
Estudiantes welcome Newell's Old Boys in the closing fixture of matchday seven in Argentina’s Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The game is scheduled for August 31, 2026, at 22:00 local time at the Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes in Ciudad de Córdoba. The home side enter the contest in strong form, having won three of their last five matches, while Newell’s Old Boys have produced the same recent record. However, Estudiantes’ defensive numbers, home results and favorable head-to-head record provide important reasons for confidence. Newell’s arrive after a victory of their own but must improve on consecutive defeats in their two most recent away fixtures. With Estudiantes ranked 13th and Newell’s Old Boys seventh in the competition, this meeting offers both teams an opportunity to strengthen their position.
Estudiantes approach this match after a 3-1 victory over Barracas Central on August 27. Across their last five games, the hosts have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match while conceding only 0.8. That combination of attacking output and defensive control makes their recent form one of the central features of this Liga Profesional preview.
Their broader league figures also underline a capacity to keep matches under control. Estudiantes have registered 11 wins, four draws and eight defeats in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. They are also competing in the Copa Libertadores and Copa Argentina, with their progress across three competitions reflecting a productive period.
At home, Estudiantes have supplied several encouraging indicators. They defeated Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata 4-0 in a recent home appearance, and three of their last four home victories were completed without conceding. Goalkeeper Fernando Muslera has therefore been able to finish several of those successful matches with a clean sheet. Estudiantes have also been ahead at half-time in each of their last four home games, while they have won the first half in six of their previous ten matches overall.
The timing trends suggest that Estudiantes games often begin in a controlled manner before opening up later. At least one team failed to score before half-time in their last 29 league matches, and the same pattern appeared in 39 of their previous 40 games across all competitions. In addition, at least one side did not score during the second half in 33 of the last 34 Estudiantes matches. These sequences point toward a contest in which scoring may be concentrated on one side rather than shared evenly.
Newell's Old Boys travel to this fixture after beating Banfield 2-1 on August 23. Their last five matches have brought three victories, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those numbers show that the visitors are arriving with competitive recent form and cannot be judged solely on their away setbacks.
Across the Liga Profesional season, Newell’s Old Boys have six wins, seven draws and nine defeats. They average 1.1 goals per match while conceding 1.5, a defensive rate that is higher than Estudiantes’ average of 0.7 goals allowed. Although Newell’s stand seventh in the current ranking, compared with Estudiantes in 13th, their full-season win-loss record and defensive figures highlight the difficulty of this particular assignment.
The main concern is their performance away from home. Newell’s have lost each of their last two road matches, suffering defeats against Defensa y Justicia and Independiente. Those are their only two losses across their last 11 appearances, which provides a more balanced view of their overall form, but consecutive away defeats remain relevant before facing an Estudiantes side with several convincing home results.
Second-half action has been a consistent feature of the visitors’ games. More than 0.5 goals were scored after the interval in 22 of their last 24 matches overall and in 21 of their previous 23 Liga Profesional fixtures. That trend aligns with Estudiantes’ home sequence, where at least one second-half goal has appeared in 18 of the last 20 games.
The available statistics give Estudiantes a clear advantage, even though both clubs have identical records across their last five matches. The hosts have scored more and conceded less during that period, while their league defensive average is also significantly stronger. The calculated match probabilities assign Estudiantes a 59% chance of victory, compared with 24% for the draw and 16% for a Newell’s Old Boys win.
Previous meetings further strengthen the home side’s case. In the supplied head-to-head summary, Estudiantes have three wins, two draws and no defeats against Newell’s Old Boys, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded. Newell’s have also failed to win on their last three visits to Estudiantes, drawing once and losing twice. In two of those three away defeats or draws, the visitors were beaten without scoring, reinforcing the possibility that Estudiantes’ defensive record could again become decisive.
A high-scoring contest is not the strongest statistical expectation. Under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring are each rated at 55%, while 27 of Estudiantes’ last 29 league matches stayed below 3.5 goals. Nevertheless, the repeated second-half scoring trends for both sides indicate that the game can still become more active after the break. Estudiantes’ sequence of four consecutive half-time leads at home gives them another route to taking control, but the long pattern of low first-half totals suggests that any early advantage may remain narrow.
Overall, Estudiantes combine stronger defensive averages, productive recent attacking form and a favorable record in this matchup. Newell’s Old Boys arrive following a 2-1 win and have lost only twice in their last 11 appearances, so their resistance should not be overlooked. Even so, those two defeats both came away from home, and the challenge of facing an Estudiantes side that has regularly protected clean sheets in home victories shifts the balance toward the hosts.
Estudiantes vs Newell's Old Boys prediction from BetMines: Estudiantes win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Estudiantes
Newell's Old Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0