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Estudiantes
2 - 1
FT
Unión Santa Fe
Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 11:03 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 11:03 PM
The fourteenth round of the Argentine Apertura brings an intriguing clash between Estudiantes de La Plata and Unión de Santa Fe. The match will take place at the Jorge Luis Hirschi Stadium, where both sides arrive with ambitions to consolidate their positions among the top teams in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The home side, known for their defensive consistency, will look to bounce back after a mixed run of results, while the visitors aim to extend their positive momentum and continue their climb in the standings.
Estudiantes have shown solid defensive organization throughout the season, conceding only 6 goals in 12 league matches. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats reflects a team that is difficult to break down, especially at home. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Independiente Medellín on April 9, 2026.
At home, Estudiantes have been particularly strong, scoring 9 goals in their last 6 matches at the Jorge Luis Hirschi. Their defensive discipline is highlighted by the fact that at least one team failed to score at half time in each of their last 38 matches, including 32 in the domestic league. Moreover, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in 26 of their last 27 league fixtures, confirming their tendency to control the tempo and limit high-scoring affairs.
Currently ranked 2nd in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Estudiantes remain one of the most consistent teams in Argentina. Their defensive reliability and home advantage make them a formidable opponent for any visiting side.
Unión Santa Fe have been one of the pleasant surprises of the Apertura, sitting 4th in the standings after a strong run of results. They have lost only once in their last five matches, collecting 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their latest victory came on April 3, 2026, when they defeated Deportivo Riestra 2-0.
Over the course of the season, Unión’s record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their attacking efficiency has been a key factor in their success, and they have shown the ability to take early control of games, having led at half time in 7 of their last 11 matches. However, they will face this encounter with some absences due to injuries, which could affect their attacking rhythm.
Despite their positive momentum, Unión’s away performances have been less consistent. They have recorded Under 0.5 goals in 5 of their last 20 away games, suggesting that their attacking output tends to drop when playing outside Santa Fe. Nevertheless, their confidence remains high after recent results, and they will look to challenge Estudiantes’ defensive wall.
The recent meetings between Estudiantes and Unión Santa Fe have been balanced. In their last five head-to-head encounters, each side has won twice, with one draw, and both teams averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent clash ended 1-0 in favor of Estudiantes on July 15, 2025, a result that underlines how tight and low-scoring these fixtures tend to be.
From a tactical standpoint, Estudiantes are expected to rely on their compact defensive structure and disciplined transitions, while Unión will aim to exploit spaces through quick attacking combinations. Given the statistical trends, a cautious first half with limited scoring opportunities seems likely, followed by a more open second half where both sides could find chances.
Both teams have shown contrasting strengths: Estudiantes’ defensive solidity versus Unión’s attacking flair. The outcome may hinge on which side can impose its rhythm early on and capitalize on key moments in front of goal.
According to the latest data, the probabilities for the 1X2 market are as follows: Estudiantes win (1) – 48%, Draw (X) – 27%, and Unión Santa Fe win (2) – 26%. Considering Estudiantes’ strong home record and defensive consistency, they appear slightly favored to take all three points.
BetMines prediction: Estudiantes de La Plata win (1) with a 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Estudiantes
Unión Santa Fe
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
0
10
2.5
8
2
6
4
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1