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Prediction published on Mar 1, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Mar 1, 2026 8:03 PM
The Premier League continues with an intriguing clash on Tuesday night as Everton welcome Burnley to the Hill Dickinson Stadium for Matchday 29. The hosts are currently sitting in eighth place, while the visitors occupy nineteenth, fighting to escape the relegation zone. Both sides come into this fixture after eventful weekends, and the stakes could not be higher as the season enters its decisive phase.
Everton approach this encounter in good spirits after a thrilling 3-2 away victory over Newcastle United on February 28. That result ended a short winless run and reignited their hopes of pushing for a European spot. Over their last five matches, the Toffees have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall Premier League record stands at 11 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
Despite their recent success on the road, Everton’s home form remains a concern. They have failed to win any of their last six league matches at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, drawing two and losing four. However, they can take confidence from their strong record against Burnley, having won their last three home meetings in all competitions. The Toffees have also been involved in lively second halves lately, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 11 matches across all competitions.
In terms of attacking output, Everton have shown improvement in recent weeks. Thierno Barry has found his scoring touch, netting in five of his last ten league appearances, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall continues to impress with three goal contributions in his last four games. Defensively, however, the Toffees have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing only one in 2026 so far. With Jack Grealish and Carlos Alcaraz sidelined, the rest of the squad will need to maintain focus to avoid another home setback.
Burnley remain in the relegation zone but have shown signs of resilience in recent weeks. Their latest outing ended in a narrow 4-3 defeat to Brentford, a match that showcased both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over their last five games, the Clarets have managed one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Their season record in the Premier League stands at 4 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Burnley’s away form has been slightly better of late, collecting five points from their last four road trips (one win, two draws, one loss). They have also been consistent in producing high-scoring encounters, with over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 16 away matches and at least one goal conceded in their last 14 away league games. The Clarets’ attacking efforts have been boosted by Zian Flemming, who has scored six of his seven goals this season on the road, and Hannibal Mjebri, who has contributed three goal involvements in his last three appearances.
However, Burnley’s defensive issues remain a major concern. They have conceded in 19 of their last 20 Premier League matches and have often found themselves trailing at half time, losing the first period in seven of their last ten league games. The visitors also face a lengthy injury list, with several key players unavailable, which could further complicate their task on Merseyside.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar recent patterns. Everton are pushing for a top-half finish and possibly a European spot, while Burnley are battling to avoid relegation. The Toffees’ home struggles and the Clarets’ defensive leaks suggest that both sides could find the net in what promises to be an open contest. Everton’s attacking momentum, combined with Burnley’s tendency to concede but also score regularly, points towards a lively encounter.
Historically, Everton have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings and drawing one. The reverse fixture in December ended goalless, but both teams have since improved offensively. Given the recent trends, including Burnley’s run of high-scoring games and Everton’s consistent second-half goals, another goal-filled match seems likely.
Key statistical highlights include:
Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making this clash particularly unpredictable. Everton’s superior quality and home advantage could give them the edge, but Burnley’s fighting spirit and recent away performances suggest they will not go down easily.
Everton vs Burnley prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Everton
Burnley
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2