Favourites
Settings

Everton vs Burnley Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 03-03-2026

Everton

2 - 0

FT

Burnley

Hill Dickinson Stadium
Tim Robinson
light rain 9.36 °C

Prediction published on Mar 1, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Mar 1, 2026 8:03 PM

The Premier League continues with an intriguing clash on Tuesday night as Everton welcome Burnley to the Hill Dickinson Stadium for Matchday 29. The hosts are currently sitting in eighth place, while the visitors occupy nineteenth, fighting to escape the relegation zone. Both sides come into this fixture after eventful weekends, and the stakes could not be higher as the season enters its decisive phase.


Everton’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Everton approach this encounter in good spirits after a thrilling 3-2 away victory over Newcastle United on February 28. That result ended a short winless run and reignited their hopes of pushing for a European spot. Over their last five matches, the Toffees have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall Premier League record stands at 11 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.


Despite their recent success on the road, Everton’s home form remains a concern. They have failed to win any of their last six league matches at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, drawing two and losing four. However, they can take confidence from their strong record against Burnley, having won their last three home meetings in all competitions. The Toffees have also been involved in lively second halves lately, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 11 matches across all competitions.


In terms of attacking output, Everton have shown improvement in recent weeks. Thierno Barry has found his scoring touch, netting in five of his last ten league appearances, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall continues to impress with three goal contributions in his last four games. Defensively, however, the Toffees have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing only one in 2026 so far. With Jack Grealish and Carlos Alcaraz sidelined, the rest of the squad will need to maintain focus to avoid another home setback.


Burnley’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Burnley remain in the relegation zone but have shown signs of resilience in recent weeks. Their latest outing ended in a narrow 4-3 defeat to Brentford, a match that showcased both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over their last five games, the Clarets have managed one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Their season record in the Premier League stands at 4 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.


Burnley’s away form has been slightly better of late, collecting five points from their last four road trips (one win, two draws, one loss). They have also been consistent in producing high-scoring encounters, with over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 16 away matches and at least one goal conceded in their last 14 away league games. The Clarets’ attacking efforts have been boosted by Zian Flemming, who has scored six of his seven goals this season on the road, and Hannibal Mjebri, who has contributed three goal involvements in his last three appearances.


However, Burnley’s defensive issues remain a major concern. They have conceded in 19 of their last 20 Premier League matches and have often found themselves trailing at half time, losing the first period in seven of their last ten league games. The visitors also face a lengthy injury list, with several key players unavailable, which could further complicate their task on Merseyside.


Everton vs Burnley Analysis and Prediction


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar recent patterns. Everton are pushing for a top-half finish and possibly a European spot, while Burnley are battling to avoid relegation. The Toffees’ home struggles and the Clarets’ defensive leaks suggest that both sides could find the net in what promises to be an open contest. Everton’s attacking momentum, combined with Burnley’s tendency to concede but also score regularly, points towards a lively encounter.


Historically, Everton have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings and drawing one. The reverse fixture in December ended goalless, but both teams have since improved offensively. Given the recent trends, including Burnley’s run of high-scoring games and Everton’s consistent second-half goals, another goal-filled match seems likely.


Key statistical highlights include:



  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half of Everton’s last 11 matches.

  • Over 1.5 goals in each of Burnley’s last 16 away games.

  • At least one goal conceded by Burnley in their last 14 away Premier League fixtures.

  • Everton are unbeaten in their last three home games against Burnley.


Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making this clash particularly unpredictable. Everton’s superior quality and home advantage could give them the edge, but Burnley’s fighting spirit and recent away performances suggest they will not go down easily.


Everton vs Burnley prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.

Everton vs Burnley - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Everton vs Burnley: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Everton

Burnley

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Everton and Burnley in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

13

Everton

38

13

10

15

47:50

49

1.29

L
D
D
L
L
19

Burnley

38

4

10

24

38:75

22

0.58

L
L
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Who will win ?

Everton vs Burnley: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Everton vs Burnley be played?
The Premier League match between Everton and Burnley will be played on March 3, 2026 at 19:30.
Where will Everton vs Burnley be played?
The match between Everton and Burnley will be played at Hill Dickinson Stadiumundefined - England
Who will referee Everton vs Burnley?
The referee for the match will be Tim Robinson.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Everton vs Burnley in the Premier League?
The odds are: Everton to win 1.61, draw 3.90, Burnley to win 5.50.
What are the betting odds for Everton vs Burnley for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Everton and Burnley score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Everton vs Burnley in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-0, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Everton and Burnley?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Everton and Burnley, Everton won 3 times, Burnley won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets