Everton host Chelsea at Hill Dickinson Stadium on October 17, 2026, in a Premier League meeting between two closely matched sides. Everton are fifth and Chelsea sixth, separated only by goal difference, and either team can move up to fourth with a win. The hosts have yet to lose a league match this season, although four of their first six fixtures have ended in draws. Chelsea arrive after a 5-1 home victory over AFC Bournemouth, but their away results have been less convincing. That contrast between Everton’s unbeaten start and Chelsea’s difficulties on the road gives this match much of its intrigue.

Everton’s Recent Form and Key Stats

After ending last season with seven league games without a victory and missing out on European qualification, Everton have begun this Premier League campaign with two wins and four draws. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw away to Hull City on October 11, a match in which they both trailed and led. Across their last five matches, the Toffees have recorded two wins and three draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

Home performances have been an important part of that improvement. Everton have taken two wins and a draw from their three home league games, beating Crystal Palace and Ipswich Town before a 2-2 draw with Manchester United. They have also beaten Wolves at home in the Carabao Cup. The two goals against Manchester United are the only ones Everton have conceded in their home league fixtures this season, a notable change after home form contributed to their difficulties last term.

Everton have scored eight goals and conceded five in their six league matches, with 13 goals in total across those fixtures. Thierno Barry has supplied three league goals, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall scored and provided an assist against Hull City. Vitaliy Mykolenko missed that match and may again be unavailable; the source article says Jarrad Braithwaite could be asked to play at left-back if so. Beyond those individual contributions, Everton’s ability to keep picking up points has been the defining feature of their start.

Chelsea’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Chelsea produced an emphatic response last weekend, defeating AFC Bournemouth 5-1 on October 10. Their league record stands at three wins, one draw and two defeats, while their last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two losses. Those five games have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded by Chelsea, illustrating both their attacking output and the number of chances opponents have converted against them. Henderson scored twice in the Bournemouth win, and Joao Pedro has also been in good scoring form.

The challenge for Chelsea is to reproduce their home attacking display away from home. They won 3-2 at Fulham, but subsequent league trips brought defeats at Arsenal and Brentford, the latter by 3-0. Chelsea have conceded seven goals in three away league games this season. Their defensive record extends beyond those trips: they have conceded at least once in each of their last 13 Premier League away matches and in their last 22 league matches overall.

Goals have been a consistent feature of Chelsea’s fixtures. Their last 11 Premier League matches have contained over 1.5 total goals, as have their last 13 away games in the competition. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Chelsea’s last 11 matches. Reece James and Emmanuel Emegha may be unavailable for this visit, though the central question is whether Chelsea can reduce the goals they concede while maintaining the attacking level shown against Bournemouth.

Everton vs Chelsea Match Analysis

Everton’s unbeaten record and stronger home results give them a solid foundation, but their four league draws show how often their matches remain close. Chelsea have won more league games, and their 5-1 result against Bournemouth underlines their scoring potential. Equally, conceding seven times in three away league fixtures gives Everton reason to believe they can create openings of their own.

The teams’ goal patterns do not point in exactly the same direction. Everton’s six league games have produced a modest 13 total goals, and fewer than two first-half goals have been scored in each of their last 14 Premier League home matches. Chelsea, by contrast, have been involved in a run of matches with at least two total goals. Both sides also regularly see goals after the interval: Everton’s last 20 home matches have featured a second-half goal on 18 occasions, while Chelsea’s last 11 matches have all had one.

Everton will seek to protect the unbeaten start that has lifted them above Chelsea, while the visitors have an opportunity to turn their latest home win into a better result on their travels. The hosts’ home scoring record and Chelsea’s long sequence of league games without a clean sheet make Everton finding a goal plausible. Chelsea’s own scoring averages and recent five-goal display suggest they can contribute too, even against an Everton side that has conceded only twice at home in the league.

Everton vs Chelsea prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.