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Everton vs Chelsea Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 21-03-2026

Everton

3 - 0

FT

Chelsea

Hill Dickinson Stadium
Samuel Barrott
scattered clouds 10.19 °C

Prediction published on Mar 19, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Mar 19, 2026 8:02 PM

The upcoming Premier League clash between Everton and Chelsea promises to be a tense and competitive encounter. With only eight matches left in the season, both sides are still fighting for European qualification. Everton currently sit eighth in the table, while Chelsea are sixth, holding a five-point advantage. Both teams come into this fixture after suffering defeats, and the stakes are high as they look to bounce back. The home side will hope that playing at Hill Dickinson Stadium gives them the edge they need to close the gap.


Everton’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Everton saw their two-match winning streak end with a 2-0 defeat away to Arsenal on March 14, a result that left them with 43 points in the Premier League standings. Despite the loss, their performance showed resilience, and they will look to build on that as they return home. The Toffees have recorded 12 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats this season, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their home record, however, remains inconsistent, with only five wins in fifteen league games at Hill Dickinson.


In their last five matches, Everton have managed 2 wins and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.4. They have been involved in matches where over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in each of their last 13 fixtures, showing that their games often open up after the break. However, they tend to start cautiously — in 33 of their last 35 matches, at least one team failed to score in the first half.


Everton’s defensive structure has shown signs of improvement, particularly in their recent 2-0 home win over Burnley. The team will aim to replicate that solidity against Chelsea, especially after conceding two late goals against Arsenal. With a full week to prepare, the hosts will hope to take advantage of their fresher legs and home support.


Chelsea’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Chelsea arrive at this match under pressure after a heavy 3-0 defeat to Paris Saint Germain in the Champions League on March 17. That result extended their poor run, with only one win in their last five matches across all competitions. In that period, they have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game but conceding 2.4 — a clear sign of defensive instability.


In the Premier League, Chelsea’s record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their away form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last eight visits to Everton. However, they have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning the last two and remaining unbeaten in the last four, all while keeping clean sheets.


Statistically, Chelsea’s matches have been lively. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 20 games, and both teams scored at half time in their last four away fixtures. Despite this, they have also lost at half time in their last three matches, showing vulnerability early on. The Blues will need to tighten up defensively if they are to avoid a fourth consecutive defeat.


Everton vs Chelsea Tactical Overview


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting recent fortunes but similar ambitions. Everton have been solid at home in patches, while Chelsea have struggled to find consistency on the road. The Toffees’ defensive discipline and ability to grow into games could prove decisive, especially given Chelsea’s tendency to concede in the second half. Everton’s attack has shown flashes of quality, and their recent home win should boost confidence.


On the other hand, Chelsea’s attacking potential remains high, but their defensive lapses have cost them dearly. Conceding 12 goals in their last five matches highlights their current fragility. The visitors will look to rediscover their rhythm, but fatigue from European competition and a mounting injury list could hinder their performance. Everton’s extra rest and home advantage might tilt the balance slightly in their favor.


Historically, this has been a tight matchup. The last head-to-head ended 2-0 in favor of Chelsea on December 13, 2025, but Everton will be eager to reverse that outcome. With both sides looking to recover from recent setbacks, fans can expect a competitive and potentially high-scoring encounter.


Key Match Facts



  • Premier League standings: Everton 8th, Chelsea 6th.

  • Everton’s last 5 matches: 2 wins, 3 defeats; average goals scored 1.2, conceded 1.4.

  • Chelsea’s last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats; average goals scored 1.6, conceded 2.4.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in the last 13 Everton matches and 19 of the last 20 Chelsea matches.

  • Everton have failed to score in the first half in most of their recent games.

  • Head-to-head record: Everton 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats; average goals scored 0.4, conceded 1.8.


Everton vs Chelsea Prediction


Given the current form and statistical trends, this match could feature goals at both ends. Everton’s home advantage and Chelsea’s defensive issues suggest that the hosts might have a slight edge. However, Chelsea’s attacking potential cannot be ignored, especially considering their record in this fixture. Expect a match that could swing either way but with a strong likelihood of goals after the break.


BetMines prediction: Over 2.5 goals with 55% probability.

Everton vs Chelsea - Predictions

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Everton vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Everton

Chelsea

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Everton and Chelsea in Premier League

Who will win ?

Everton vs Chelsea: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Everton vs Chelsea be played?
The Premier League match between Everton and Chelsea will be played on March 21, 2026 at 17:30.
Where will Everton vs Chelsea be played?
The match between Everton and Chelsea will be played at Hill Dickinson Stadiumundefined - England
Who will referee Everton vs Chelsea?
The referee for the match will be Samuel Barrott.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Everton vs Chelsea in the Premier League?
The odds are: Everton to win 3.25, draw 3.40, Chelsea to win 2.20.
What are the betting odds for Everton vs Chelsea for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Everton and Chelsea score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What is the most likely correct score for Everton vs Chelsea in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Everton and Chelsea?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Everton and Chelsea, Everton won 1 times, Chelsea won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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