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Prediction published on Oct 3, 2025 2:05 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 3, 2025 3:01 PM
The Premier League continues with a fascinating clash on Sunday, October 5, 2025, as Everton host Crystal Palace at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. The Toffees are looking to bounce back after a difficult run of form, while the Eagles arrive in superb shape, still unbeaten this season. With Everton sitting ninth in the table and Palace flying high in third, this fixture promises to be one of the standout matches of the weekend.
Everton began the campaign brightly with two wins from their opening three matches, but momentum has stalled in recent weeks. They are now winless in their last four competitive games (D2, L2), including a 1-1 draw against West Ham United on September 29. That result left them with eight points from six matches (W2, D2, L2), placing them just four points above the relegation zone but still within touching distance of the top four.
Despite their struggles, Everton remain a tough side to beat at home. The goal conceded against West Ham was the first they had let in across four competitive fixtures at the Hill Dickinson Stadium this season (W2, D2). Clean sheets against Brighton and Aston Villa highlight their defensive resilience in front of their fans. Historically, Everton have also enjoyed a dominant record against Palace, going unbeaten in their last 11 home matches against the Eagles in all competitions.
Manager David Moyes continues to work with a 4-2-3-1 system, but he may consider changes in attack after Beto struggled to make an impact against West Ham. Thierno Barry could be given a chance to lead the line. There is positive news on the injury front, with defender Jarrad Branthwaite close to returning from a long-term hamstring issue. However, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is suspended after accumulating five yellow cards. Creativity has come from Jack Grealish, who already has four assists in the league this season.
Crystal Palace are enjoying one of their best-ever starts to a Premier League season. They remain the only unbeaten side in the league (W3, D3), sitting just three points behind leaders Liverpool. Their confidence is sky-high after a stunning 2-1 victory over Liverpool last weekend, followed by a 2-0 win against Dynamo Kyiv in midweek European action.
The Eagles have been consistent both home and away, with three wins from their last four league matches (W3, D1). Impressively, they have won their last two away games, showing they can deliver results on the road. Palace are also chasing a new club record of 13 consecutive top-flight matches without defeat, underlining their current momentum.
Manager Oliver Glasner has successfully implemented a 3-4-3 system, which has made Palace one of the most tactically balanced sides in the division. Jean-Philippe Mateta continues to lead the line, while Eddie Nketiah has emerged as a key figure, scoring the winner against Liverpool and netting again in Europe. Palace will, however, be without Cheick Doucoure and Chadi Riad due to injuries. Defensively, they have been rock-solid, conceding just three goals in six league matches, while also keeping things tight in the first half — under 1.5 goals have been scored before half-time in each of their last 11 matches.
This fixture has historically favored Everton, who have lost just one of their last 21 Premier League meetings with Palace (W11, D9). The Toffees also won both league encounters last season by a 2-1 scoreline. However, Palace arrive in much stronger form this time, unbeaten in 18 matches across all competitions and boasting one of the best defensive records in the league.
Everton’s home strength and Palace’s away momentum suggest a tightly contested battle. The Toffees will look to rediscover their scoring touch, while Palace will aim to extend their unbeaten run and prove they can finally end their poor away record against Everton. With both sides showing defensive solidity but also carrying attacking threats, this match could be decided by fine margins.
Palace’s ability to grind out results, combined with Everton’s historical dominance in this fixture, makes this a fascinating clash. The Eagles’ recent form suggests they are capable of breaking their long winless streak away to Everton, but the Toffees’ resilience at home cannot be underestimated.
Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction by BetMines:
Based on the analysis and probabilities, the best value lies in the Under 2.5 goals market, which carries a 55% probability. Both sides have shown defensive strength, and recent head-to-head encounters have often been low-scoring affairs.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Everton
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
2
8
1
9
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
10
0