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Everton
2 - 0
FT
Crystal Palace
Prediction published on Aug 20, 2026 3:05 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Aug 20, 2026 3:05 PM
Everton host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on August 22, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The clubs were separated by only two places and four points last season, when Everton finished 13th and Palace ended the campaign in 15th. Their current rankings give the home side an early advantage, with Everton sixth and Crystal Palace 13th. However, the available win probabilities point to a competitive fixture: Everton have a 39% chance of victory, compared with 34% for Palace and 27% for the draw.
Both teams have produced identical records across their latest five matches, collecting two wins and one draw while suffering two defeats. Their scoring figures are different, though. Everton have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that sequence, while Palace have recorded 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The visitors also arrive with European commitments to manage after winning the Conference League last season and preparing to combine the Europa League with their domestic schedule.
Everton enter this Premier League match after drawing 1-1 with LOSC Lille on August 15. That result continued a balanced five-game sequence in which the Toffees have won twice, drawn once and lost twice. Their averages of 1.4 goals at both ends underline that they have been scoring and conceding at the same rate over this recent sample.
The home side's stated target for the season is European qualification, with progress in the cups another objective. Everton showed signs of being capable of challenging for continental football last season, but their finish weakened those ambitions. Only two of their final 11 matches ended in victory, while their home record at the new stadium included eight defeats. Greater familiarity with Hill Dickinson Stadium is therefore an important part of the context surrounding this fixture.
The most consistent Everton trends concern the timing of goals. Their home matches have regularly started in controlled fashion before opening up after the interval:
Those numbers create a clear contrast between Everton's two halves. Early goal totals have repeatedly stayed low at home, but second-half scoring has been highly consistent across both their overall and league-specific records. That pattern could make patience important, particularly if the opening period follows the same restrained rhythm seen in their previous home games.
Crystal Palace come into the contest following a 2-1 victory against Fulham on August 7. Like Everton, Palace have registered two wins, one draw and two losses across their last five outings. They have averaged one goal scored per match in that period, while conceding 1.6, giving the visitors a wider negative gap between their attacking and defensive averages.
Last season became increasingly focused on the Conference League, which Palace went on to win. They must now balance their Premier League campaign with participation in the Europa League. That added responsibility forms an important backdrop to their domestic matches, although their latest recorded result provides positive momentum ahead of this trip.
The visitors' away statistics suggest that their games on the road have generally contained scoring activity. Each of Crystal Palace's last 10 away matches finished with over 1.5 total goals. Those same 10 away fixtures all produced at least one goal before half-time, a sequence that differs from Everton's strong tendency towards low-scoring opening halves at home.
Palace have also seen under 0.5 total goals in two of their last 10 Premier League matches. In other words, two games in that league sequence ended without a goal, but the broader away trend has been much more productive, with at least two total goals recorded in every one of their latest 10 trips. The contrast between those figures and Everton's home first-half trends is one of the central statistical themes of this match preview.
The head-to-head data slightly favors Everton. Across the supplied summary, the Toffees have three wins, two draws and no defeats against Crystal Palace, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Nevertheless, the most recent meeting finished 2-2 on May 10, 2026, showing that Palace were able to score twice and avoid defeat in the latest encounter.
There is no decisive direction in the overall 2.5-goal projection, which is split evenly between over and under at 50% apiece. The match odds are similarly competitive, with Everton priced at 2.15, the draw at 3.40 and Crystal Palace at 3.40. These figures support the view that home advantage gives Everton an edge without making the outcome one-sided.
The goal-related evidence offers a more defined angle. Everton's recent five-match averages amount to 2.8 total goals per game, while Palace's corresponding scoring and conceding numbers total 2.6. Palace's last 10 away matches have all cleared 1.5 total goals, and both sides found the net in the latest head-to-head draw. In addition, Everton's long run of second-half goals suggests that the match can develop even if the first half remains relatively tight.
The teams present competing first-half patterns: Everton have recorded under 1.5 goals before the break in 12 consecutive home fixtures, whereas Palace's last 10 away games have all featured at least one first-half goal. These trends can coexist if the opening 45 minutes contain exactly one goal, but they also underline the uncertainty surrounding when the scoring may begin. Across the full match, the 55% probability for both teams to score is more persuasive than either team's individual win percentage and is supported by the 2-2 result in their latest meeting.
Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Everton
Crystal Palace
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1