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Everton
1 - 0
FT
Ipswich Town
Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 2:10 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 2:10 PM
Everton host Ipswich Town at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday, September 19, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 local time. The Premier League fixture brings together two sides level on six points but following contrasting paths through the opening four rounds. Ninth-placed Everton remain unbeaten after recording one victory and three draws, while tenth-placed Ipswich have alternated between positive results and setbacks, collecting two wins and two defeats. The hosts will be looking to convert their resilient start into another victory, whereas the visitors arrive with an attack capable of scoring regularly but a defence that has conceded heavily. Those trends, combined with the 2-2 scoreline in the most recent meeting, create the conditions for an intriguing contest.
Everton enter the game after beating Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 on September 16. That Carabao Cup victory ended a run of three consecutive draws and extended their unbeaten competitive start to six matches, consisting of three wins and three draws. Their latest Premier League outing finished goalless away to Tottenham, illustrating both their defensive resistance and their recent difficulty in turning level matches into victories.
Across their last five fixtures, the Toffees have registered two wins, three draws and no defeats. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game during that sequence. Their league figures are similarly steady: one win and three draws, with averages of 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Everton have also won two of their first three competitive home matches of the season, drawing the other one, so their record at the Hill Dickinson Stadium provides a solid platform for this fixture.
The timing of goals is particularly notable in Everton's recent data. Their last 15 home games have all produced fewer than 1.5 first-half goals, while the same outcome has occurred in each of their previous 13 home Premier League fixtures. At least one team has failed to score before half-time in Everton's last 21 home matches and in 37 of their previous 40 games overall. However, there has been at least one second-half goal in their last 14 home fixtures, including each of the last 12 played there in the Premier League. The pattern therefore points towards controlled opening periods followed by more activity after the interval.
Christian Norgaard and Merlin Rohl are expected to be absent, although David Moyes is otherwise likely to have his preferred starting options available. Thierno Barry, who has scored four times this season, is expected to lead the attack despite going without a goal in his last four competitive appearances. Jack Grealish could challenge for a place on the left, with Tyrique George set to operate from the right.
Ipswich Town travel to Merseyside after a 4-2 home defeat against Arsenal on September 15, a result that eliminated them from the Carabao Cup. It was their third loss in four competitive matches, although they still scored seven goals during that spell. Their ability to create chances has been accompanied by clear defensive vulnerability, making their matches difficult to predict and frequently eventful.
The visitors have won two and lost three of their last five games, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In the Premier League, their record stands at two wins and two defeats, with averages of 1.8 goals for and 2.5 against. Those numbers underline the contrast between a productive attack and a back line that has allowed opponents numerous opportunities.
Ipswich's most recent league appearance delivered a dramatic 3-2 away win over Crystal Palace. That result followed defeats against Liverpool and Manchester United, so consistency remains an issue despite the positive attacking signs. The Tractor Boys have also performed competitively in this fixture over time, earning three wins and two draws from their last six Premier League meetings with Everton.
Emersonn has contributed two goals and one assist in four league appearances. He was withdrawn with an injury against Crystal Palace but is considered likely to be available. If he cannot feature, Zian Flemming could start after scoring the winner in that 3-2 victory. Flemming also has an eye-catching away record, with nine of his last 12 Premier League goals coming on the road. Julio Enciso is expected to play behind the striker. Jack Taylor is the confirmed absentee, while Azor Matusiwa could also miss the match because of injury.
The statistical profile presents a contest between Everton's unbeaten, relatively controlled start and Ipswich's much more volatile results. The hosts have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals in the league, while the visitors have allowed 2.5 per game. Everton are consequently given the stronger chance of winning at 42%, compared with 31% for Ipswich and 26% for the draw. However, the Toffees' three league stalemates show why a straightforward home victory is far from guaranteed.
Everton's first-half trends suggest the match may take time to open up. Fewer than two goals before the break has been an enduring pattern in their home games, while second-half goals have occurred with considerable regularity. Ipswich may test that controlled approach because their last five matches have featured averages of two goals scored and 2.8 conceded. If the visitors maintain that level of attacking output while continuing to give up chances, the balance of the game could change quickly after a cautious opening.
The head-to-head numbers also leave room for a competitive encounter. Everton's five-game summary against Ipswich reads one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. Their latest Premier League meeting ended 2-2 on May 3, 2025, providing a recent example of both teams finding a route to goal. The supplied probabilities give a 55% chance to both teams scoring, narrowly ahead of the 51% assigned to over 2.5 total goals.
Everton's home record and stronger defensive averages offer the hosts encouragement, but Ipswich's victory at Crystal Palace demonstrated their ability to score away from home. The visitors' defensive figures make a clean sheet difficult to support, while Everton's sequence of draws warns against treating home advantage as decisive. A match in which both attacks contribute is therefore the most coherent conclusion from the available form, scoring averages and latest head-to-head result.
Everton vs Ipswich Town prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Everton
Ipswich Town
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
10
0
6
4