The Merseyside derby returns with Everton hosting Liverpool in what promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the Premier League weekend. The home side are currently eighth in the table, just three places and five points behind their city rivals. With European football within reach, the Toffees will be eager to make a statement in front of their fans at their new stadium. For Liverpool, this clash is equally crucial as they aim to secure a top-five finish and bounce back from recent setbacks.

Everton’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Everton have transformed their season from a relegation battle into a campaign filled with European ambitions. Their recent performances have been solid, with three wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their last five matches. The Toffees have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game during this run, showing a balanced approach between attack and defense.

At home, Everton have been particularly strong. They have won their last two league matches at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, keeping clean sheets in both and scoring five goals in total. Their overall Premier League record stands at 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The Toffees’ resilience has been evident, as they have lost only one of their last five matches in all competitions.

Statistically, Everton’s matches tend to open up after the break. There have been over 0.5 goals in the second half of each of their last 15 games, and in 29 of their last 31 fixtures, at least one team failed to score before half-time. This pattern suggests that the Toffees often grow into matches, finding their rhythm as the game progresses.

• Ranking in Premier League: 8th


• Last match: 2-2 draw vs Brentford (April 11, 2026)


• Last 5 matches: 3W – 1D – 1L


• Average goals scored: 2.0 | Average conceded: 1.2


• Over 0.5 goals in 2nd half: 15 consecutive matches

With no fresh injury concerns and a confident squad, Everton will look to continue their strong home form. A win here would not only bring them closer to the Champions League spots but also mark a symbolic milestone — reaching 50 points in the Premier League for the first time since the 2020–21 season.

Liverpool’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Liverpool enter this derby under pressure after a difficult few weeks. Their midweek elimination from the Champions League at the hands of PSG was a major setback, compounded by a serious injury to striker Hugo Ekitike, who will miss the rest of the season. The Reds’ recent form has been poor, with just one win and four defeats in their last five matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

In the Premier League, Liverpool’s record stands at 15 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. However, their away form has been a major concern. They have lost their last two league games on the road — at Wolves and Brighton — and have also suffered away defeats in Europe against Galatasaray and PSG. Scoring has been a particular issue, with only one goal in their last four away fixtures.

Despite these struggles, Liverpool have shown some consistency in first halves, having avoided defeat at half-time in 18 of their last 20 Premier League matches. Their matches also tend to feature late action, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in 36 of their last 40 games.

• Ranking in Premier League: 5th


• Last match: 0-2 loss vs PSG (April 14, 2026)


• Last 5 matches: 1W – 0D – 4L


• Average goals scored: 0.6 | Average conceded: 2.0


• Over 0.5 goals in 2nd half: 36 of last 40 matches

With European qualification still within reach, Liverpool must rediscover their attacking rhythm. However, their recent away record and the loss of key players make this derby a challenging test.

Everton vs Liverpool Tactical Overview and Prediction

This Merseyside derby carries huge implications for both sides. Everton are enjoying a rare spell of stability and confidence, while Liverpool are struggling to find consistency after a demanding season. The Toffees’ defensive solidity at home and Liverpool’s poor away form suggest that the hosts could have the upper hand in this encounter.

Historically, Liverpool have dominated this fixture, but the most recent head-to-head ended 2-1 in their favor back in September 2025. Overall, Everton have recorded one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five meetings with the Reds, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match. However, current momentum seems to favor the blue half of Merseyside.

Given the statistical trends — including a 58% probability of Both Teams To Score and a 58% chance of Over 2.5 goals — this match could deliver an open and entertaining contest. Everton’s recent attacking form and Liverpool’s defensive vulnerabilities point toward a high-scoring affair, though the home side’s resilience might prevent a defeat.

Everton vs Liverpool prediction by BetMines:
Everton win or draw (Double Chance 1X) with a probability of 67%.