Everton host Manchester United at the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sunday, September 6, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 local time. The home side have collected four points from their opening two Premier League fixtures and currently sit seventh, while the visitors are tenth after recording one win and one defeat. Everton enter this contest unbeaten in their last five matches, whereas Manchester United arrive after an emphatic 5-2 victory over Ipswich Town. Both teams have therefore found reasons for optimism during the opening weeks, but United’s four goals conceded across two league games also raise questions before this trip.

Everton Recent Form and Key Statistics

Everton have started the Premier League season with one win and one draw, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match. Their campaign began with a 2-0 home victory against Crystal Palace before they recovered to draw 1-1 away to AFC Bournemouth on August 29. They also recorded a 4-0 away win over Preston in the Carabao Cup.

The Toffees’ broader form is encouraging. Their last five matches have produced three wins, two draws and no defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and only 0.6 allowed. That combination of attacking output and defensive control offers a positive foundation as they prepare to face a Manchester United team that scored five times in its most recent appearance.

Several trends from Everton’s home fixtures point towards measured first halves followed by more activity after the interval. Their last 13 home matches have all finished the first half with under 1.5 goals, a sequence that covers 12 consecutive Premier League home games. At least one side has also failed to score before half-time in Everton’s last 20 home fixtures. However, a first-half goal has still been recorded in 18 of their previous 20 matches at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.

The second-half numbers are particularly consistent. Everton’s last 12 home matches have all contained at least one goal after the break, including each of their previous 11 at home in the Premier League. The same outcome has occurred in 23 of their last 24 fixtures in all competitions and in 21 of their previous 22 league games. These figures suggest that patience could be important if the opening period proves tight.

Jack Grealish is back at Everton on loan from Manchester City, although the source material indicates that a place among the substitutes may be more likely than a start. Ainsley Maitland-Niles could make his debut following his arrival from Arsenal. Christian Norgaard is considered doubtful, while Brennan Johnson could be involved.

Manchester United Recent Form and Key Statistics

Manchester United endured a difficult start with a 2-0 defeat away to Hull City, but their response was decisive. They defeated Ipswich Town 5-2 on August 30, with Bruno Fernandes scoring a hat-trick. That result gave United their first points of the league season and lifted their scoring average to 2.5 goals per match, although they are also conceding an average of 2.0.

The visitors’ last five matches have brought one win, two draws and two defeats. Across that sequence, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Their ability to find the net remains a major theme: Manchester United have scored at least once in 27 of their last 29 matches, as well as in 26 of their previous 28 Premier League games.

United’s defensive record is less convincing at this early stage. Four goals conceded against Hull City and Ipswich Town show that their matches can open up, even when their attack is productive. Four of their last seven Premier League fixtures have ended with both teams scoring, adding another relevant trend before they face an Everton side averaging 2.2 goals across its last five outings.

Carlos Baleba, who joined from Brighton and Hove Albion during the summer transfer window, is recovering from an ankle injury and will not feature. Manuel Ugarte and Armad Diallo are also unavailable, while Matthijs de Light is a major doubt because of a back problem. Luke Shaw, Mason Mount and Tom Heaton are expected to undergo late fitness tests. Bruno Fernandes is available after his hat-trick and has registered 11 goal involvements in previous Premier League matches against Everton.

Everton vs Manchester United Match Analysis

The supplied win probabilities give Manchester United a 46% chance of victory, compared with 29% for Everton and 26% for the draw. However, the home team’s unbeaten five-match sequence and strong defensive averages indicate that this may be more competitive than the rankings alone suggest. Everton have avoided defeat in both league games, while United have already experienced contrasting results.

The latest head-to-head meeting ended in a 1-0 Manchester United victory on February 23, 2026. The wider supplied head-to-head summary gives Everton one win, two draws and two losses, with the Toffees averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded. Although that record provides United with a slight historical edge in the listed meetings, Everton’s current sequence gives the hosts grounds for confidence.

Goal timing may be central to the contest. Everton’s repeated under 1.5 first-half results point to a controlled opening, but their long run of matches containing second-half goals leaves room for the game to become more expansive. Manchester United have scored regularly over an extended run, yet they have conceded four times in their first two league fixtures. Everton, meanwhile, have scored in both of their Premier League matches and have produced seven both-teams-to-score outcomes in their last nine league games.

The statistical balance supports a match in which both attacks can contribute. The supplied BTTS probabilities stand at 53% for Yes and 47% for No, while the goal-total figures are almost evenly divided between 51% for under 2.5 and 49% for over 2.5. With Everton in steady form and Manchester United combining frequent scoring with defensive vulnerability, goals for each side represent the most coherent conclusion.

Everton vs Manchester United prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.