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Everton
6:45 PM
September 16, 2026
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Prediction published on Sep 14, 2026 7:07 PM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Sep 14, 2026 7:07 PM
Everton welcome Wolverhampton Wanderers to the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Wednesday, September 16, with a place in the next round of the Carabao Cup at stake. The hosts approach this fixture unbeaten across their last five matches, while the visitors arrive after collecting three victories from their previous five outings. Both clubs have also progressed through the competition without conceding a goal. Everton defeated Preston 4-0 in the last round, whereas Wolverhampton Wanderers recorded a 2-0 victory over Sheffield Wednesday before this third-round meeting. There is additional intrigue following their previous cup encounter, when Wolves eliminated the Toffees with a 2-0 win. However, the latest match between the teams ended 1-1 on January 7, 2026, suggesting another competitive contest could be on the cards.
Everton prepared for this Carabao Cup fixture with a goalless draw against Tottenham Hotspur on September 12. That result extended their unbeaten sequence to five matches, a run featuring two wins and three draws. Across those games, the Toffees averaged 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded, underlining the balance between their attacking output and defensive resistance.
Their sole Carabao Cup appearance this season produced an emphatic 4-0 victory. Consequently, Everton's competition record stands at one win from one match, with an average of four goals scored and none conceded. It was also one of three clean sheets registered by the team across five competitive fixtures. Their broader home form has been relatively dependable as well, with Everton avoiding defeat in five of their last seven matches at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
The timing trends from Everton's recent home games are particularly notable. At least one side has failed to score before half-time in each of their last 20 home matches, while the same pattern has occurred in 37 of their previous 40 fixtures overall. In addition, their last 14 home games have all contained fewer than 1.5 first-half goals. Nevertheless, there has been at least one goal before the interval in 18 of Everton's last 20 home matches, indicating that a single first-half breakthrough has frequently been enough.
Second halves have tended to provide further action. More than 0.5 goals have been recorded after the break in Everton's last 13 home fixtures and in 24 of their previous 26 matches across all venues. Those figures point towards games that may begin in controlled fashion before becoming more open as they progress.
Christian Norgaard is unavailable for the hosts, while rotation is expected to influence the selection. Michael Keane, Hayden Hackney, Jack Grealish, Jake O'Brien and Tyler Dibling are among the players who could receive starting opportunities. Thierno Barry, meanwhile, has already contributed three goals and one assist in Everton's Carabao Cup campaign, although his workload may need to be managed.
Wolverhampton Wanderers travel to this tie after beating Sheffield United 1-0 away from home on September 13. That success was their third victory in five matches, with the complete sequence consisting of three wins, one draw and one defeat. Wolves averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during that period, giving them a higher recent scoring average than their hosts but also a less secure defensive return.
The visitors have won both of their Carabao Cup matches this season. They are averaging 2.5 goals per game in the tournament and, like Everton, are yet to concede. Their earlier 2-0 win against Sheffield Wednesday ensured that they entered this round with a perfect competition record. Wolves have also shown resilience on their travels, earning three victories and one draw from their previous five away fixtures.
Their record against Everton offers further encouragement. Wolverhampton Wanderers have avoided defeat in eight of the last ten meetings between the clubs, recording five wins and three draws. At the same time, the supplied five-match head-to-head summary gives Everton two victories, two draws and one defeat, with the Toffees averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 1-1, so neither team was able to establish a decisive advantage.
Raul Jimenez enters the contest with three goals and one assist from his last seven appearances. He has also scored six times in 12 matches against Everton, although four of those goals came across his first four encounters with them between 2018 and 2020. Rodrigo Gomes has contributed two goals and one assist in his last four games, providing another source of attacking production for the visitors.
There are also availability questions within the Wolves squad. Kieran Trippier returned from injury at the weekend but is not expected to start, while Nasser Djiga could be omitted after being withdrawn in that match. Rafiki Said and Yerson Mosquera are also listed among the absentees.
This third-round tie brings together two teams in positive form and with flawless defensive records in the current Carabao Cup. Everton have not lost in five matches and have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals during that sequence. Wolves, however, have won three of their last five and arrive with three victories from their previous five away games. Their respective 4-0 and 2-0 cup wins also demonstrate that both teams can combine defensive discipline with productive attacking displays.
The overall statistical picture remains finely balanced. Everton have the stronger five-match defensive average, but Wolverhampton Wanderers have produced more goals over the same period. The available probabilities give Wolves a 39% chance of winning, compared with 34% for Everton and 26% for the draw. Meanwhile, both teams to score is rated at 54%, while under 2.5 goals stands at 52%, reflecting the competing signals provided by recent attacking form and the teams' clean sheets in this competition.
The clearest recurring pattern concerns the opening half at Everton's home ground. Although fewer than 1.5 first-half goals have been recorded in 14 consecutive home fixtures, 18 of the last 20 have still featured at least one goal before the interval. Combined with the strong recent scoring averages of both teams, that trend supports the prospect of an early breakthrough without necessarily suggesting a high-scoring opening period.
Everton vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 78% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Everton
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2