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Excelsior
10:15 AM
September 13, 2026
FC Utrecht
Prediction published on Sep 11, 2026 10:37 AM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Sep 11, 2026 10:37 AM
Excelsior welcome FC Utrecht in the sixth round of the 2026/27 Eredivisie season on September 13, with kick-off scheduled for 10:15 local time at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in Rotterdam. The two teams approach this fixture in sharply contrasting form. Excelsior are fourth after collecting three wins, one draw and one defeat from their opening five league matches, while 15th-placed FC Utrecht remain without a victory following two draws and three losses. Both sides were involved in high-scoring draws on September 8, with Excelsior held 2-2 by NEC Nijmegen and Utrecht drawing 3-3 against Go Ahead Eagles. The available statistics point towards another lively Eredivisie encounter, particularly because the hosts have been productive in attack and the visitors have combined regular scoring with major defensive problems.
Excelsior have made a positive start to their Eredivisie campaign, winning three of their first five fixtures. Their record of three victories, one draw and one defeat has been built around an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, while they have conceded an average of only 1.0. That balance between attacking output and defensive control has placed the home side in fourth position ahead of this meeting.
Their latest result was a 2-2 draw with NEC Nijmegen on September 8. Across Excelsior's last five matches, the team have recorded the same figures as their season record, scoring at an average of 2.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. The source article also highlights a 3-0 victory over Willem II Tilburg, a 2-1 win against Sparta Rotterdam and a narrow 2-1 defeat to PSV Eindhoven. Those results underline how frequently Excelsior's matches have produced attacking action.
The broader league trends reinforce that assessment. Each of Excelsior's last 14 Eredivisie matches has contained more than 1.5 total goals. There has also been at least one first-half goal in all 14 of those games, suggesting that their league fixtures have regularly opened up before the interval rather than remaining scoreless for long periods.
Irakli Yegoian is identified in the source material as one of the players capable of providing an attacking threat for the hosts. Excelsior will look to maintain the forward momentum that has helped them win three matches and establish the stronger early-season record of the two sides. Their scoring average gives them a clear route into the contest, especially against opponents who have conceded heavily during the opening weeks.
FC Utrecht travel to Rotterdam still searching for their first Eredivisie victory of the season. Their opening five games have produced two draws and three defeats, leaving them 15th in the rankings. Although Utrecht have averaged 1.8 goals scored per match, their defensive return has been far more concerning, with an average of 3.6 goals conceded.
The visitors drew 3-3 with Go Ahead Eagles on September 8, adding another goal-heavy result to their campaign. Over their last five matches, they have failed to win, while scoring at a respectable rate but allowing their opponents too many opportunities. The source article also records a 3-3 draw away to Sparta Rotterdam, alongside defeats by AZ Alkmaar, FC Groningen and PSV Eindhoven. The most emphatic of those setbacks was a 6-1 home loss against PSV.
Utrecht's attacking numbers provide some encouragement. An average of 1.8 goals across the first five league matches indicates that they have still been able to contribute offensively despite their poor overall results. However, conceding 3.6 per game has made it extremely difficult for those goals to translate into victories. Their immediate challenge is therefore to improve defensively without losing the scoring presence that has kept them competitive in parts of matches.
Only two of FC Utrecht's last ten away matches in the Eredivisie have finished with under 0.5 total goals. While that statistic does not guarantee a high-scoring game by itself, it shows that a completely goalless away fixture has been relatively uncommon during that sequence. Utrecht need points, but their combination of regular goals and defensive vulnerability could once again create an open contest.
The contrast between the teams is clear. Excelsior have won three of five and average 2.4 goals scored, whereas FC Utrecht are winless and concede an average of 3.6. The hosts therefore enter the fixture with the more convincing recent record, but the match probabilities remain competitive: Excelsior have a 32% win probability, the draw stands at 26%, and an FC Utrecht victory is rated at 42%.
Goals are the strongest recurring theme in the available data. Excelsior's run of 14 consecutive Eredivisie matches with over 1.5 total goals is supported by their 2.4 scoring average. Every match in that sequence has also featured a first-half goal. At the same time, Utrecht have scored 1.8 per game but conceded 3.6, a combination that has repeatedly left their matches vulnerable to high totals.
The head-to-head summary is more balanced than the current form. From Excelsior's perspective, the recorded meetings have produced one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The latest head-to-head finished 5-0 on April 26, 2026, another result that adds to the attacking theme surrounding this fixture.
Excelsior's recent consistency and Utrecht's defensive record suggest that the hosts should have opportunities, while the visitors' own scoring average means they cannot be dismissed in the final third. The supplied probabilities place Both Teams To Score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. With both teams coming off score draws and their combined season averages pointing towards chances at both ends, this Eredivisie match has the statistical profile of an entertaining contest.
Excelsior vs FC Utrecht prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Excelsior
FC Utrecht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
0
10
4
6
3.5
3
7
5
5
4.5
7
3
5
5