The battle to avoid relegation in the Eredivisie intensifies as Excelsior host FC Volendam at Stadion Woudestein on May 10, 2026. With only two rounds left in the season, both sides are desperate for points to secure their top-flight status. Excelsior currently sit 14th, while Volendam occupy 16th place, making this a direct clash between two teams fighting for survival. The home side approach this fixture with renewed confidence after two consecutive victories, while the visitors continue to struggle for consistency.

Excelsior’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Excelsior have found form at the perfect time, winning their last two matches, including a thrilling 3-2 comeback against FC Groningen on May 2. These results have given the team a much-needed boost in morale and confidence. Over their last five games, Excelsior have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. This attacking resurgence contrasts with earlier struggles, where defensive lapses cost them valuable points.

Across the season, Excelsior’s record stands at 9 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Their recent improvement in front of goal has been key to their revival, and playing at home could further strengthen their chances. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last ten Eredivisie matches, suggesting that Excelsior often grow stronger as the game progresses.

Despite their attacking momentum, defensive vulnerabilities remain. Earlier defeats against Feyenoord, Heerenveen, and Go Ahead Eagles exposed weaknesses at the back, something they will need to address to secure safety. However, with the home crowd behind them and confidence restored, Excelsior will look to maintain their upward trajectory and avoid being dragged back into the relegation zone.

FC Volendam’s Recent Form and Key Stats

FC Volendam enter this match in a far more precarious position. Their 0-2 defeat to SC Heerenveen on May 3 highlighted ongoing defensive issues that have plagued their season. Over their last five matches, Volendam have managed just 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their overall campaign record stands at 8 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.

Volendam’s away form has been particularly concerning. They haven’t drawn in their last 17 away matches, and under 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 12 away fixtures. This pattern suggests that their games tend to be tight but often end in defeat. Moreover, they have conceded at least one goal in 20 of their last 21 away matches, underlining their defensive fragility on the road. They also tend to start slowly, having failed to win at half time in 19 of their last 20 matches.

Despite these struggles, Volendam have shown occasional flashes of resilience, such as their 2-0 victory over Heracles Almelo. To get a result at Woudestein, they will need to stay compact, frustrate the home side, and look to exploit counterattacking opportunities. However, given their defensive record, keeping a clean sheet will be a major challenge.

Excelsior vs FC Volendam Tactical Overview

This fixture brings together two teams with similar weaknesses but contrasting momentum. Excelsior come into the match full of confidence after back-to-back wins, while Volendam are struggling to find rhythm and defensive stability. Both sides have shown a tendency to concede goals, which could lead to an open and entertaining contest.

Excelsior’s attacking approach has been paying dividends recently, with their forwards finding space and creativity in the final third. Their ability to score multiple goals in recent matches suggests they will look to take the initiative early. On the other hand, Volendam’s best chance lies in staying organized and hitting on the break, but their defensive lapses could once again prove costly.

Historically, Excelsior have had the upper hand in this matchup, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in the last five head-to-head meetings, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The last encounter ended in a 1-2 result on September 20, 2025, showing that Volendam are capable of competing but will need a near-perfect performance to repeat that success.

• Ranking: Excelsior 14th, FC Volendam 16th


• Excelsior last 5: 2W – 2D – 1L (2.2 goals scored per match)


• Volendam last 5: 1W – 2D – 2L (1.0 goals scored per match)


• Over 0.5 goals in 2nd half: 10 consecutive Excelsior matches


• Under 3.5 goals: 12 consecutive Volendam away matches


• BTTS (Yes): 63% probability


• Over 2.5 goals: 64% probability

Excelsior vs FC Volendam Prediction

Given the attacking momentum of Excelsior and the defensive frailties of FC Volendam, this match is likely to produce goals. Both teams have shown vulnerability at the back, and their need for points could lead to an open, end-to-end encounter. The data supports this expectation, with a high probability of both teams scoring and more than 2.5 goals being netted overall.

Excelsior have the advantage of form and home support, while Volendam will need to show discipline to avoid another setback. However, the combination of Excelsior’s attacking confidence and Volendam’s defensive inconsistency points toward a high-scoring affair.

Excelsior vs FC Volendam prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 64% probability.