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Excelsior
1 - 2
FT
SC Heerenveen
Prediction published on Mar 5, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Mar 5, 2026 9:03 PM
The 26th round of the Eredivisie brings an intriguing clash at the Stadion Woudestein, where Excelsior host SC Heerenveen on March 7. The home side are desperate to halt a worrying run of defeats, while the visitors arrive in Rotterdam buoyed by a series of strong results that have lifted them into the top half of the table. With both teams showing contrasting momentum, this fixture promises to be a key moment in their respective seasons.
Excelsior enter this match after three consecutive Eredivisie defeats, including a narrow 0-1 loss to Go Ahead Eagles on March 1. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win and one draw in their last five matches. Over that period, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Across the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
Earlier in the campaign, Excelsior showed promise with competitive draws against Ajax, Twente, and AZ, suggesting they could hold their own at this level. However, their inability to convert solid performances into consistent victories has been a recurring issue. Defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, and their attacking output has declined in recent weeks. The team will once again rely on a solid defensive foundation, but improvement in the final third is essential if they are to secure a positive result.
Despite their struggles, Excelsior can take some encouragement from their previous meetings with Heerenveen, including a 2-1 victory earlier in the season. Playing at home could provide the spark they need to rediscover their early-season confidence.
SC Heerenveen travel to Rotterdam in far better shape, having won three of their last four Eredivisie matches. Their latest success came with a 2-1 victory over Sparta Rotterdam on February 28, following impressive wins against Zwolle and Go Ahead Eagles. This run has lifted them to 9th place in the standings with 34 points, and their attacking play has been particularly effective, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five outings.
Over the course of the season, Heerenveen have recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, scoring and conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match. Their matches have been consistently entertaining, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 24 games, including all 13 of their most recent away fixtures. The team’s attacking approach often leads to open, high-scoring encounters, and they have shown the ability to find the net in virtually every match.
Heerenveen’s attacking rhythm and collective organization have been key to their recent success. Even though their defense has not always been watertight, their offensive consistency makes them a dangerous opponent for any side. Their ability to maintain pressure and create chances from midfield could once again prove decisive against an Excelsior defense that has struggled to keep clean sheets.
This encounter pits two teams with very different trajectories. Excelsior are fighting to regain form and confidence after a difficult run, while SC Heerenveen are looking to consolidate their position in the top half of the table. The home side’s defensive issues and declining attacking efficiency contrast sharply with the visitors’ recent scoring form and momentum.
Excelsior’s main challenge will be to contain Heerenveen’s dynamic attack, which has produced multiple goals in most of their recent matches. However, Heerenveen’s inability to keep a clean sheet in ten consecutive games suggests that the hosts could still find opportunities to score. The match is therefore expected to be open, with both teams likely to contribute to the scoreline.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, but current form gives the edge to the visitors. Heerenveen’s attacking depth and confidence make them slight favorites to take all three points, though Excelsior’s home advantage could make it a closer contest than the standings suggest.
Excelsior vs SC Heerenveen prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Excelsior
SC Heerenveen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1