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Exeter City vs Lincoln City Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | League One 10-03-2026

Exeter City

0 - 1

FT

Lincoln City

St James Park
Carl Brook
sky is clear 9.85 °C

Prediction published on Mar 8, 2026 9:08 PM by Dario in England - League One | Modified on Mar 8, 2026 9:08 PM

The upcoming League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides at opposite ends of the table. The hosts are struggling to rediscover their winning touch, while the visitors are flying high at the top of the standings. With both teams coming off contrasting results at the weekend, this midweek fixture could have significant implications for their respective campaigns.


Exeter City’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Exeter City enter this match in 15th place in League One, having collected 42 points from 35 games. Despite their mid-table position, the Grecians are only six points above the relegation zone, which adds pressure to secure a positive result. Their recent form has been disappointing, with no wins in their last nine league outings. During that stretch, they have drawn six times and lost three, including a 2-1 defeat away to Barnsley on March 7, 2026.


In their last five matches, Exeter have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, underlining their defensive vulnerabilities. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 11 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their home performances have been particularly tight in the first half, with Under 1.5 goals at half time in each of their last 12 home fixtures. This trend suggests that Exeter often start cautiously, preferring to keep things compact before opening up later in the game.


Despite their struggles, Exeter have shown resilience at times, managing to hold stronger opponents to draws. However, their inability to turn those stalemates into victories has left them in a precarious position. The fans at St James Park will be hoping that this match can mark a turning point in their season.


Lincoln City’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Lincoln City arrive in Devon full of confidence after a superb run of form that has taken them to the top of the League One table. With 74 points from 35 matches, they sit two points clear of their nearest challengers and ten ahead of third place. Their latest triumph was a commanding 2-0 away win against Cardiff City on March 7, 2026 — a result that underlined their title credentials.


The Imps have been in sensational form, winning four of their last five matches and drawing the other. During that period, they have averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded per game, highlighting both their attacking potency and defensive solidity. Over the season, Lincoln’s record stands at 22 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match.


Lincoln’s consistency has been remarkable. They have not lost in their last 18 league matches and have also avoided defeat at half time in all of those games. Furthermore, they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 20 League One fixtures, and Over 0.5 goals at half time has been recorded in 19 of their last 21 league games. These numbers reflect a team that starts strongly, maintains control, and rarely allows opponents a way back into the contest.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The recent head-to-head record between these sides is evenly balanced. In their last five meetings, Exeter have won once, drawn three times, and lost once, with both teams averaging just 0.4 goals scored per game in those encounters. The most recent clash ended in a 0-1 victory for Lincoln City on October 4, 2025, a result that will give the visitors confidence heading into this fixture.


From a tactical perspective, Exeter will likely aim to stay compact and frustrate the league leaders, especially given their tendency to keep first halves low-scoring. However, Lincoln’s current momentum and attacking rhythm make them difficult to contain. The Imps’ ability to score early and manage games efficiently has been a key factor in their rise to the top. If they can maintain their recent defensive discipline, another clean sheet and three points could be on the cards.


Exeter City vs Lincoln City Prediction


All indicators point toward another strong performance from Lincoln City. The contrast in form between the two teams is stark: Exeter have gone nine games without a win, while Lincoln are unbeaten in 18. The visitors’ balance between attack and defense, combined with their confidence after defeating Cardiff, makes them clear favorites.


Given the statistical trends — Exeter’s low-scoring first halves and Lincoln’s consistent scoring record — this match could start cautiously before the away side takes control. The Imps’ recent dominance suggests they have the quality and momentum to extend their unbeaten run.


BetMines prediction: Lincoln City win (2) with a probability of 42%. A draw is estimated at 27%, while an Exeter victory stands at 31%. Based on current form and consistency, the away win remains the most likely outcome.

Exeter City vs Lincoln City - Predictions

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Exeter City vs Lincoln City: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Exeter City

Lincoln City

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Exeter City and Lincoln City in League One

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Lincoln City

46

31

10

5

89:41

103

2.24

W
D
W
W
W
21

Exeter City

46

12

13

21

52:61

49

1.07

W
D
D
D
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Exeter City vs Lincoln City: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Exeter City vs Lincoln City be played?
The League One match between Exeter City and Lincoln City will be played on March 10, 2026 at 19:45.
Where will Exeter City vs Lincoln City be played?
The match between Exeter City and Lincoln City will be played at St James Park, Exeter - England
Who will referee Exeter City vs Lincoln City?
The referee for the match will be Carl Brook.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Exeter City vs Lincoln City in the League One?
The odds are: Exeter City to win 4.10, draw 4.00, Lincoln City to win 1.72.
What are the betting odds for Exeter City vs Lincoln City for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the League One?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.15 and Under 2.5 at 1.66.
Will both Exeter City and Lincoln City score in the League One?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.00, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.75.
What is the most likely correct score for Exeter City vs Lincoln City in the League One?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Exeter City and Lincoln City?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Exeter City and Lincoln City, Exeter City won 1 times, Lincoln City won 1, and 3 ended in a draw.

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