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Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 1:42 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 1:42 PM
FC Augsburg host Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the WWK Arena on Saturday, September 12, with kick-off scheduled for 13:30 local time. The Bundesliga fixture brings together the league leaders and the seventh-placed visitors after two rounds of the season. Augsburg have made a perfect start, taking six points while averaging 3.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match. Leverkusen have collected one win and one defeat, although their emphatic victory in the previous round underlined their attacking potential. With both teams arriving from high-scoring wins, this match offers an intriguing test of Augsburg’s early momentum and Leverkusen’s ability to build on their latest performance.
FC Augsburg enter the weekend at the top of the Bundesliga following two victories from their opening two league matches. Their most recent result was a commanding 4-1 win against Eintracht Frankfurt on September 6, while their other league success was a 3-0 victory over Schalke. Those results have given the hosts an excellent early-season balance of seven goals scored and only one conceded.
The broader form is also encouraging. Augsburg have won four of their last five matches, losing once and drawing none, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over that period. The source article expands that run to five victories across their last six fixtures, showing how consistently they have been turning positive performances into wins. Their attacking responsibility has also been shared: eight different players have already scored this season. Anton Kade is the only player on two goals, while Arijon Ibrahimovic and Michael Gregoritsch are also among the scorers.
The goal trends surrounding Augsburg are particularly strong. Their last 15 matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals, as have their last 14 Bundesliga games. There has been at least one first-half goal in each of their previous 12 league fixtures, and Augsburg have been ahead at half-time in their last three Bundesliga home matches. Second-half action has been even more consistent, with at least one goal after the interval in 21 of their last 22 games and in 20 of their previous 21 league outings.
There are, however, some availability concerns. Kade recently had to reduce his involvement because of a muscle injury and is described as doubtful for this match. Sima Suso is also unavailable with a torn muscle fibre. Even with those issues, Augsburg’s collective production and strong defensive start provide a solid platform before facing Leverkusen.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen travel to Augsburg after responding impressively to their opening Bundesliga setback. A 2-3 defeat against Elversberg was followed by a convincing 4-0 victory over FC Union Berlin on September 5. After two rounds, the visitors have one win and one loss, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per league match.
Across their last five fixtures, Leverkusen have recorded three victories and two defeats without a draw. They have averaged 2.6 goals per game during that sequence while conceding 1.2. Their capacity to score is supported by a longer Bundesliga trend: Leverkusen have found the net at least once in each of their last 14 league matches. Patrik Schick, who has already scored three times this season, is identified as an important part of that attacking output.
The visitors’ away matches also have a notable first-half pattern. At least one goal has been scored before the break in 18 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s last 20 away games. Combined with Augsburg’s run of 12 consecutive Bundesliga fixtures containing a first-half goal, the available numbers suggest that the contest may become active early rather than remaining closed until the latter stages.
Leverkusen have several reported personnel doubts. Kenneth Eichhorn is expected to remain out, while Montrell Culbreath has a foot injury and Nathan Tella is dealing with back problems. The participation of Guela Doue and Eliesse Ben Seghir is also uncertain. The pressure is therefore on Carles Martinez to maintain the improvement shown in the four-goal win over Union Berlin.
The immediate form creates a compelling Bundesliga match preview. Augsburg have been more consistent at the beginning of the campaign, winning both league games and combining an average of 3.5 goals scored with only 0.5 conceded. Leverkusen’s record is less stable, but their average of three league goals per match and their ongoing 14-game scoring sequence indicate that the away side still carries a clear offensive threat.
The recent head-to-head data adds another layer. The latest meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for FC Augsburg on April 18, 2026, and the source article states that Augsburg won both encounters during the previous season, scoring twice in each. However, the five-match head-to-head summary gives Augsburg two wins, no draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. The longer sample therefore offers Leverkusen encouragement despite Augsburg’s success in the two most recent clashes.
Current match probabilities are closely balanced, assigning 36% to an Augsburg win, 23% to the draw and 41% to a Leverkusen victory. The goal markets are more decisive: both teams to score is rated at 62%, while over 2.5 goals stands at 63%. Those figures correspond with the teams’ recent scoring averages and their latest results, which produced five goals for Augsburg’s match and four for Leverkusen’s.
The clearest recurring theme, though, concerns the opening 45 minutes. Augsburg’s last 12 Bundesliga matches have featured a first-half goal, and they have led at the interval in their previous three home league fixtures. Leverkusen have seen the same minimum of one first-half goal in 18 of their last 20 away matches. With both sides coming off emphatic victories and each carrying strong attacking numbers, an early breakthrough is firmly supported by the supplied statistics.
FC Augsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 86% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Augsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
0
10
2.5
2
8
0
10
3.5
3
7
4
6
4.5
6
4
9
1