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Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 3:09 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 3:09 PM
The Bundesliga offers a tense encounter on Saturday, November 22, as FC Augsburg host Hamburger SV at the WWK Arena. Both sides are struggling to find form, and this match could prove decisive in shaping their immediate future. It will be their first direct meeting since January 2018, when Augsburg claimed a narrow 1-0 victory. The home side have won four of their last five home games against Hamburg, but current form suggests confidence is low in the Fuggerstadt. With seven defeats in their last nine matches, Augsburg are desperate to turn things around in front of their fans.
FC Augsburg enter this fixture sitting 15th in the Bundesliga table, having collected just seven points from ten matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 7 defeats). Their defensive record is the worst in the league, with 24 goals conceded and not a single clean sheet so far. The Bavarian side’s last outing ended in a 3-2 defeat to VfB Stuttgart on November 9, extending their poor run to four losses in the last five games. During that stretch, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored per match while conceding 2.4.
At home, Augsburg’s struggles continue. They have already suffered four defeats at the WWK Arena this season and have lost at half-time in each of their last three home fixtures. The team’s inability to keep things tight early in matches has been a recurring issue. Despite these setbacks, Augsburg have shown flashes of attacking intent, averaging 1.4 goals per game across the season. However, their defensive lapses have consistently undone their efforts. Coach Sandro Wagner is under increasing pressure, with his future uncertain if results do not improve soon.
Hamburger SV arrive in Augsburg in slightly better shape but far from comfortable. The northern club sit 13th in the table with nine points (2 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats). After a promising start to the campaign, their form has dipped sharply. They avoided a fourth consecutive loss only thanks to a last-minute equalizer in a 1-1 draw against Borussia Dortmund on November 8. That result offered some relief, but the team’s attacking output remains a concern.
In five away matches this season, Hamburg have scored just two goals and lost three times, each time trailing at half-time. Their average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game highlights a lack of balance between defense and attack. Still, there are some encouraging signs: in 20 of their last 22 away fixtures, there has been at least one goal scored in the second half, showing that they tend to grow into games. Coach Steffen Baumgart will be hoping his side can rediscover their early-season rhythm and exploit Augsburg’s fragile defense.
Both teams enter this clash under pressure, and neither can afford another setback. Augsburg’s defensive instability contrasts with Hamburg’s offensive inefficiency, setting the stage for a tight and cautious contest. The hosts have conceded in every league match this season, while the visitors have struggled to find the net away from home. This combination suggests that the match could hinge on individual errors or set pieces rather than sustained attacking play.
Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced, with Augsburg winning twice and Hamburg three times in their last five meetings. The last encounter, back in January 2018, ended 1-0 in favor of Augsburg. Given both sides’ recent struggles, a repeat of such a low-scoring affair would not be surprising. Augsburg’s home advantage could play a role, but their defensive frailties make them vulnerable to counterattacks. Hamburg, meanwhile, will aim to stay compact and capitalize on any openings, especially in the second half when Augsburg tend to tire.
With both clubs desperate for points and confidence, this match promises intensity rather than flair. Expect a physical battle where neither side will want to take excessive risks. A draw would not be a disastrous outcome for either, but it would do little to ease the growing pressure on both managers.
FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Hamburger SV win (2) with a 40% probability. The FC Augsburg win (1) follows at 36%, while the Draw (X) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2