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Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 8:02 PM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between FC Augsburg and FC St. Pauli promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides. Augsburg come into the match riding a wave of confidence after their sensational victory over Bayern München, while St. Pauli are still searching for a much-needed win to escape the lower end of the table. The fixture, scheduled for January 31, 2026, could prove decisive in shaping the second half of the season for both clubs.
FC Augsburg have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks. Their stunning 1-2 win against Bayern München on January 24 was a statement performance that extended their unbeaten run to three matches. Currently sitting 13th in the Bundesliga standings, Augsburg’s record this season stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, highlighting both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities.
In their last five matches, Augsburg have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per match while conceding 1.6. Their home form has been mixed, but they remain competitive, with Under 0.5 goals scored in only 4 of their last 17 home Bundesliga fixtures. Interestingly, at least one team failed to score before half-time in 37 of Augsburg’s last 40 matches, suggesting that their games often start cautiously before opening up in the second half.
Momentum is clearly on Augsburg’s side after their recent performances. The victory over Bayern not only boosted morale but also demonstrated their ability to compete with stronger opponents. Playing in front of their home supporters, Augsburg will aim to capitalize on this momentum and secure another vital three points to move further away from the relegation zone.
FC St. Pauli have endured a difficult campaign so far, sitting 17th in the Bundesliga table. Their season record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats reflects their struggles to find consistency. The Hamburg-based side have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, underlining their lack of cutting edge in attack and defensive fragility.
In their most recent outing, St. Pauli managed a 1-1 draw against RB Leipzig on January 27, a result that extended their winless streak to five matches. Over their last five games, they have collected 3 draws and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.2. Away from home, St. Pauli have struggled to impose themselves, with Under 0.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 14 away fixtures. Their lack of offensive productivity has been a recurring issue, and unless they find a way to convert chances, their survival hopes could fade quickly.
Despite their poor form, St. Pauli can take some encouragement from their earlier 2-1 victory over Augsburg in the reverse fixture on September 14, 2025. However, since that win, they have managed only one further victory, highlighting the steep decline in their performances. The visitors will need to rediscover their early-season resilience if they are to challenge Augsburg on their own turf.
The historical balance between these two sides is relatively even. In their last five meetings, FC Augsburg have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.8. The previous encounter ended 2-1 in favor of St. Pauli, but current form suggests a reversal could be on the cards.
Augsburg’s recent performances indicate a team growing in confidence, particularly after their triumph over Bayern. Their ability to stay organized defensively and strike effectively on the counter could prove decisive. St. Pauli, meanwhile, have shown determination but lack the finishing touch needed to turn draws into wins. Their defensive structure will be tested against an Augsburg side eager to build on their momentum.
Given Augsburg’s upward trajectory and St. Pauli’s ongoing struggles, the hosts appear better positioned to control the game. Expect Augsburg to press early, using their home advantage to unsettle their opponents, while St. Pauli may rely on compact defending and quick transitions to find opportunities on the break.
All indicators point toward a competitive but potentially low-scoring contest. Augsburg’s improved form and home advantage make them slight favorites, while St. Pauli’s lack of recent victories suggests they may find it difficult to secure a result here. The data also shows a tendency for matches involving these teams to feature fewer than three goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight affair.
FC Augsburg vs FC St. Pauli prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 46% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Augsburg
St. Pauli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1