FC Bayern München host Arsenal at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday, October 21, in the third round of the Champions League league phase. Neither side has lost in the competition this season: Bayern have taken four points from their first two matches, while Arsenal have won both. The visitors have yet to concede in Europe, but they face a Bayern side that has scored eight goals across its two Champions League fixtures. With Bayern 10th and Arsenal seventh in the current rankings, this meeting brings together two unbeaten teams with contrasting early defensive records.

FC Bayern München's Recent Form and Key Stats

FC Bayern München responded to their 3-3 draw away at Viking with a 6-1 Bundesliga win over RB Leipzig on October 17. Luis Diaz scored a hat-trick in that victory. The draw at Viking had been frustrating for Bayern: they recovered from two goals down, but a late equaliser denied them a win after Michael Olise was sent off. Before that setback, they had opened their Champions League campaign with a 5-0 home victory over Bodoe/Glimt.

Bayern's wider form remains strong. They are unbeaten in their last 15 matches and their last 16 home matches. Their five most recent games have brought three wins and two draws, with averages of 4.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In the Champions League, they have scored at least once in each of their last 23 matches, while each of their last 25 games in the competition has featured more than 1.5 total goals. Their last eight Champions League matches have averaged 5.5 goals.

There is a personnel issue for the hosts: Olise is suspended following his red card against Viking. Manuel Neuer missed the Leipzig match with a foot injury, and Kim Min-Jae remains doubtful. Bayern can still look to Harry Kane, who has nine goals and six assists in competitive action this season. He has also scored in nine consecutive Champions League appearances.

Arsenal's Recent Form and Key Stats

Arsenal arrive after a 1-0 Premier League win away at Nottingham Forest on October 18, secured by an 80th-minute goal from Noni Madueke. It was their third consecutive victory, following a 3-0 home win over Lille in the previous Champions League round. They began their European campaign with another clean sheet, winning 1-0 away at Napoli.

The Gunners have won four of their last five matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in that span. Their Champions League record is particularly impressive: they are unbeaten in their last 17 matches in the competition and have won 14 successive league-phase games. Arsenal have scored in each of their last 14 Champions League away matches, a record that gives them reason to believe they can test Bayern despite the hosts' strong home form.

Arsenal's recent results also point to a more controlled scoring pattern than Bayern's: 30 of their last 31 matches have finished with under 3.5 total goals. On this trip, William Saliba, Piero Hincapie and Christos Tzolis are out of contention. Kepa Arrizabalaga was left out against Nottingham Forest. In attack, Bukayo Saka has four goals this season, while Declan Rice has supplied four assists.

FC Bayern München vs Arsenal Match Analysis

Bayern's goalscoring record is the clearest argument for an open contest. They have scored in 39 of their last 40 matches and in each of their last 19 home fixtures. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 38 of those last 40 Bayern games, as well as in their last 12 Champions League home matches. Their 6-1 win over Leipzig showed their attacking capacity again, although the three goals conceded at Viking offer Arsenal encouragement.

Arsenal bring a different kind of challenge. They have conceded no goals in their first two Champions League games this season, and their win at Nottingham Forest showed they can take three points even when a match remains close. Bayern's scoring streaks will be tested against that record, while Arsenal's run of goals in European away games suggests the visitors have a route into the contest too.

Previous meetings add weight to the possibility of goals: five of the last six Champions League matches between Bayern and Arsenal have produced at least three. Bayern have also won five of their last seven home games against Arsenal. The hosts' attacking form and home record give them a strong platform, but Arsenal's unbeaten European run makes this a difficult match to judge by results alone. The goals trend offers a clearer angle, even allowing for Arsenal's recent tendency to play in matches with fewer than four goals.

FC Bayern München vs Arsenal prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 64% probability.