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FC Bayern München
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Borussia Dortmund
Prediction published on Oct 29, 2026 5:33 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Oct 29, 2026 5:33 PM
FC Bayern München host Borussia Dortmund at the Allianz Arena on October 31, 2026, in a Bundesliga meeting between the league’s top two sides. Bayern are first and Dortmund second, but both have identical league records of five wins, two draws and no defeats. That level start gives this fixture an added edge: the visitors arrive with the chance to challenge the leaders directly, while Bayern have won every home game mentioned in the match build-up. Dortmund coach Niko Kovac has acknowledged that the close standings make the occasion more compelling, while stressing the standard his side must reach in Munich. Bayern’s home scoring record suggests an open contest is possible, though Dortmund’s unbeaten league start gives the hosts plenty to consider.
Bayern approach the match without a defeat in their last 18 games across competitions and their last 22 Bundesliga matches. Their five most recent fixtures brought three wins and two draws, with averages of 4.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. They beat Magdeburg 6-1 on October 28, following a win over Freiburg and a draw with Arsenal. Their Bundesliga figures are similarly strong going forward: five wins and two draws from seven matches, with 3.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded on average.
Home form is central to Bayern’s case. They have not lost in their last 18 home matches and have scored at least once in each of their last 20. In Bundesliga home fixtures, they have scored two or more goals in each of their last 10, while over 3.5 total goals have featured in all 10 of those matches. Their last 11 league home games have each contained over 2.5 goals, as well as at least one goal before half-time. Bayern have also led at the interval in their last four Bundesliga home matches.
The run extends beyond their league home results: Bayern’s last nine matches have all produced over 2.5 goals, and their last seven have exceeded 3.5. They have scored in 39 of their last 40 games. There is nevertheless a defensive concern in the recent record, with four goals conceded across the three matches highlighted in the build-up. Those figures leave a contrast for this preview: Bayern have been prolific and difficult to beat, but their opponents have still found goals in recent outings.
Availability remains a consideration. Jamal Musiala and Luis Diaz are unavailable, while there are doubts over Neuer and Kim. Kimmich is to decide on his own involvement following a bereavement, and coach Vincent Kompany is also unavailable. On a more encouraging note for Bayern, the match build-up identifies Olise, Kane and Davies as players in good form.
Borussia Dortmund travel to Munich level with Bayern on Bundesliga points, having also won five and drawn two of their first seven league matches. Dortmund have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per Bundesliga game. Their last five matches across competitions yielded three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Those numbers point to a different recent scoring profile from Bayern’s, even though both sides remain unbeaten in the league.
Dortmund’s latest result was a 3-2 win over Werder Bremen on October 27. That followed narrow victories over Frankfurt, 1-0, and Sabah, 2-1. The results have been positive, but the match build-up describes performances that have not always been convincing; before those three wins, Dortmund had gone three games without a victory. Kovac has said his side will need to play at the highest level in Munich, while also emphasising Dortmund’s own expectations.
The visitors have fewer availability concerns listed. Long-term absentees Lerma, Can and Konstantelias remain out, while Karetsas could be available from the bench. Guirassy and Veerman are identified as being in good form. Another relevant trend is that 26 of Dortmund’s last 29 Bundesliga matches have featured at least one second-half goal. Against a Bayern side whose home games have repeatedly produced goals after the break, that record may matter if the contest remains close.
Bayern’s home attack is the clearest feature of this fixture. They have scored at least twice in 17 of their last 18 home matches across competitions, and their recent home wins cited in the build-up include six-goal returns against Magdeburg and Leipzig, seven against Union and five against Stuttgart. Dortmund, however, arrive with the same unbeaten Bundesliga record as their hosts and have found ways to win three consecutive matches despite close scorelines. The meeting therefore brings together Bayern’s exceptional scoring streak and a visiting side that has continued to collect results.
The goal trends favour particular attention. Every one of Bayern’s last 11 Bundesliga home matches has contained at least three total goals, and each of their last 10 in the competition has contained at least four. Bayern have scored heavily in their most recent five games, but their average of 1.6 goals conceded across that span offers Dortmund a route into the match. The visitors’ 3-2 win over Bremen is a reminder that their recent fixtures have not all followed the lower-scoring pattern suggested by their five-match averages.
With both clubs unbeaten in Bundesliga play, neither can be dismissed on league form. Bayern’s longer home scoring runs and Dortmund’s recent run of tight victories provide different routes into the game. If the hosts maintain their usual output in Munich, the visitors may need more than one goal to keep pace; if Dortmund can restrict Bayern, their close-game experience could become important. The supplied trends make the total-goals market a natural focus for this Bundesliga preview.
FC Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
0
10
4
6
3.5
1
9
6
4
4.5
5
5
8
2