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FC Bayern München
7:45 PM
October 28, 2026
Magdeburg
Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 8:11 PM by Dario in Germany - DFB Pokal | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 8:11 PM
FC Bayern München host Magdeburg at the Allianz Arena on Wednesday, October 28, with a place in the DFB Pokal round of 16 at stake. Both sides won their opening cup match, but they arrive with contrasting recent results away from home. Bayern are unbeaten in their last 17 matches and have scored freely, while Magdeburg travel to Munich after a 6-1 victory over Karlsruher SC. The visitors also have a cup upset in their history: when these teams last met around 26 years ago, Magdeburg eliminated Bayern on penalties in the second round. Whether they can trouble the hosts again is one of the central questions in this FC Bayern München vs Magdeburg match preview.
Bayern come into the tie after a 3-1 win away to SC Freiburg on October 25. Across their last five matches, they have recorded two wins and three draws, scoring an average of 3.2 goals and conceding 1.8 per game. They have not lost in 17 matches overall or in their last 17 at home. In their opening DFB Pokal fixture of the season, Bayern won while averaging four goals scored and one conceded.
Their recent games have rarely lacked goals. More than 3.5 goals were scored in each of Bayern's last six matches, and both teams scored in the second half of each of their last five. At home, Bayern have scored at least once in 19 consecutive fixtures; all 19 also produced more than 1.5 total goals and at least one second-half goal. The source article adds that Bayern scored 15 goals across their last three home matches, underlining the attacking challenge facing Magdeburg.
There are nevertheless personnel concerns for the hosts. The source article says Aaron Danks is in charge while Vincent Kompany is unavailable. It also reports that Luis Diaz will miss several weeks through injury, Manuel Neuer is unlikely to be available, and a return for Jamal Musiala may come too soon. The availability of Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic and Min-jae Kim is uncertain. Even with those questions, Bayern's unbeaten run and home scoring record give them a strong platform for this cup match.
Magdeburg arrive on the back of a 6-1 win against Karlsruher SC on October 24. Their last five matches have brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. They also won their first DFB Pokal match of the season, scoring four goals without conceding. Those figures suggest the visitors have attacking form of their own, even if the source article describes a much less productive recent run on the road.
According to that account, Magdeburg's last three away matches brought two defeats and a draw, with only two goals scored. That contrast between their overall form and their away results is significant before a trip to Bayern. Their cup matches, however, have been consistently open: more than 2.5 goals were scored in each of Magdeburg's last 11 DFB Pokal fixtures, and every one of those games featured a first-half goal. Their last 10 matches in all competitions have each produced more than 1.5 total goals.
The source article identifies Mateusz Zukowski and Emmanuel Iyoha as key attacking players, saying they have scored 13 goals between them. It also reports that attacking player Moritz-Broni Kwarteng is out with a calf injury and defender Lubambo Musonda has been absent for several months. Magdeburg have shown they can score heavily, but improving on their recent away output would help them make this second-round meeting more competitive.
The historical cup upset offers Magdeburg encouragement, although that previous second-round meeting took place on their ground rather than at Bayern's. The source article lists just one earlier home meeting for Bayern against Magdeburg: a 3-2 win in the 1974 European Cup. The current numbers place the emphasis on goals. Bayern's last six matches have all cleared the 3.5-goal mark, while Magdeburg's last 11 DFB Pokal games have each had at least three goals.
Bayern's home scoring streak and Magdeburg's recent away difficulties point toward the hosts creating chances, but the visitors' 6-1 win over Karlsruher SC shows why their attack cannot be dismissed. Bayern have also conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last five games. With both clubs carrying substantial scoring figures into the tie, the supplied match data supports an open contest more clearly than a narrow, low-scoring one.
FC Bayern München vs Magdeburg prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 76% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Bayern München
Magdeburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
2
8
7
3
4.5
5
5
8
2