The DFB-Pokal quarter-final between FC Bayern München and RB Leipzig promises to be one of the most anticipated fixtures of the competition. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, February 11, with kick-off at 20:45. Bayern, who have not lifted the domestic cup since 2020, are determined to end that drought this season. Having already defeated Leipzig twice in the current campaign with emphatic scorelines of 5-1 and 6-0, the Bavarians enter this clash full of confidence. However, knockout football often brings surprises, and Leipzig will be eager to prove they can compete on equal terms when it matters most.

FC Bayern München – Form and Key Statistics

FC Bayern München approach this quarter-final in strong form, having recorded a 5-1 victory over Hoffenheim on February 8. In their last five matches, they have achieved three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking consistency remains remarkable: they have scored in each of their last 32 matches and have not failed to find the net at home in 18 consecutive fixtures. Moreover, they have scored at least two goals in 17 of their last 18 home games, underlining their offensive power at the Allianz Arena.

In the DFB-Pokal, Bayern’s campaign has been far from dull. They opened with a narrow 3-2 win away to Wiesbaden, followed by a 4-1 success at Köln and a 3-2 victory over Union Berlin in the round of 16. Across these three matches, they have averaged 3.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. The team has also led at half-time in their last three cup games, showing their ability to start strongly. With a record of 30 unbeaten results in their last 32 matches overall, the German champions have built a formidable rhythm that makes them clear favourites on paper.

• Over 1.5 goals have been scored in Bayern’s last 34 matches.


• They have not lost at half-time in 33 of their last 34 fixtures.


• Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 31 of their last 32 games.


• They have scored at least two goals in 30 of their last 32 matches.

These numbers highlight a team that thrives on attacking football. Yet, despite their dominance, defensive lapses have occasionally allowed opponents to score, something they will want to tighten up in this knockout stage.

RB Leipzig – Form and Key Statistics

RB Leipzig arrive in Munich after a 2-1 away win against Köln on February 8, a result that provided a timely confidence boost. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In the DFB-Pokal, however, Leipzig have been efficient and clinical: three wins from three games, scoring an average of 3.7 goals per match while conceding 1.3. Their journey to the quarter-finals included victories over Sandhausen (4-2), Energie Cottbus (4-1), and Magdeburg (3-1).

Leipzig’s attacking consistency is also notable. They have scored in 21 of their last 22 matches in the competition and have not drawn any of their last 15 DFB-Pokal fixtures, reflecting their all-or-nothing approach. Away from home, they tend to start well, having seen over 0.5 goals at half-time in their last 11 away cup matches. However, their defensive record remains a concern, as they have conceded in most of their recent outings.

• Over 1.5 goals have been scored in Leipzig’s last 10 matches.


• They have scored at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 games.


• They have not lost at half-time in 20 of their last 22 DFB-Pokal matches.


• Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of their last 10 matches.

Despite their attacking potential, Leipzig’s defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed in previous meetings with Bayern. The last head-to-head encounter ended 5-1 in favour of the Bavarians, and Bayern have won four of the last five meetings, scoring an average of 4.2 goals per game. To stand a chance, Leipzig will need to find a balance between their offensive ambition and defensive discipline.

Match Analysis and Prediction

This quarter-final brings together two of Germany’s most attack-minded teams, both boasting impressive scoring records in the DFB-Pokal. FC Bayern München have been relentless in front of goal, while RB Leipzig have shown they can score against any opponent. However, the difference may lie in defensive stability and experience in high-pressure knockout games. Bayern’s home advantage and their ability to dominate early phases could once again prove decisive.

Given the attacking trends of both sides, goals are expected, but the nature of a quarter-final could lead to a more cautious approach, especially in the opening stages. The historical data suggests Bayern’s superiority, yet Leipzig’s offensive form ensures they remain a threat. The most likely scenario points to a Bayern victory, but with fewer goals than in their previous encounters.

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig prediction by BetMines:
Under 4.5 goals with a high probability, reflecting the expectation of a competitive but controlled match where both teams may prioritize balance over all-out attack.