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Prediction published on Nov 20, 2025 3:03 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Nov 20, 2025 3:03 PM
The Bundesliga returns after the international break with a high-profile clash at the Allianz Arena, where FC Bayern München host SC Freiburg on Saturday, November 22. The reigning champions will look to pick up where they left off before the pause, having seen their incredible run of 15 consecutive competitive victories halted by a 2-2 draw against Union Berlin. Despite that minor setback, Bayern remain unbeaten this season and sit comfortably at the top of the table. Freiburg, meanwhile, arrive in Munich hoping to build on their narrow win over St. Pauli, but the trip to Bavaria represents one of the toughest challenges in German football.
Bayern München have been nothing short of dominant in the 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign. With nine wins and one draw from ten matches, they lead the standings with an impressive goal difference. The Bavarians have scored 35 goals while conceding just six, averaging 3.5 goals per game. Their attacking power, led by Harry Kane, has been relentless — the English striker already has 13 league goals to his name and will be eager to extend his scoring streak against Freiburg, a team he has punished in their last two encounters.
At home, Bayern have been untouchable. The Allianz Arena has witnessed 11 consecutive home victories, all featuring at least two goals scored by the hosts. They have also led at both half time and full time in each of those matches, underlining their ability to dominate from the opening whistle. In their last 18 home league games, Bayern have scored in every single one, often finding the net early — over 0.5 goals have been recorded in the first half of their last 11 home fixtures.
Defensively, Thomas Tuchel’s men have been equally solid, conceding less than a goal per match. The 2-2 draw with Union Berlin before the break was the first time this season they dropped points, but even then, they controlled much of the game and only conceded a late equalizer. With players like Konrad Laimer and Luiz Diaz walking a disciplinary tightrope due to yellow card accumulation, squad management will be key. Injuries to Jamal Musiala and Alphonso Davies mean they will likely miss this fixture, but Bayern’s depth ensures that replacements can step in seamlessly.
SC Freiburg have endured a mixed start to their Bundesliga campaign. Currently sitting 10th in the table, they have collected three wins, four draws, and three defeats. Their attack has produced an average of 1.3 goals per match, while the defense has conceded 1.4. The recent 2-1 home victory over St. Pauli ended a five-game winless streak and provided a much-needed confidence boost before facing the league leaders.
However, Freiburg’s away form remains a major concern. They have failed to score in their last three away matches, with the 3-0 win at Bremen standing as an exception rather than the rule. In their last ten Bundesliga away games, they have scored just once in the first half, highlighting their struggles to start strongly on the road. Historically, the Breisgau club have found it difficult against Bayern — they have lost four of the last five head-to-head meetings, conceding an average of two goals per game.
Coach Julian Schuster will rely heavily on Vincenzo Grifo, the team’s most creative player, who has faced Bayern 18 times but managed only one goal and five assists. Eren Dinkci remains doubtful due to a hip issue, further limiting Freiburg’s attacking options. Without a consistent goal scorer, the visitors will need a near-perfect defensive performance to contain Bayern’s relentless offense.
This fixture has historically favored the champions, especially in Munich, where Freiburg have never managed to win a Bundesliga match. Bayern’s attacking rhythm, even after an international break, is expected to remain sharp, given their consistency and squad depth. The hosts’ ability to score early and maintain pressure throughout the match makes them overwhelming favorites.
Freiburg’s best hope lies in maintaining compact defensive lines and exploiting counterattacks through Grifo’s creativity. However, given Bayern’s home dominance and their tendency to score multiple goals, the visitors will likely spend much of the game defending deep. The contrast between Bayern’s offensive firepower and Freiburg’s away struggles suggests a one-sided contest.
All signs point toward another commanding display from the Bavarians. Their record of over 2.5 goals in each of their last 11 Bundesliga home matches and 18 consecutive games with at least two goals scored underlines their attacking consistency. Freiburg’s inability to find the net regularly on the road only strengthens the expectation of a comfortable home win.
The most likely outcome is a Bayern München win (1) with a 74% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 17%, while an SC Freiburg win (2) stands at 9%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Bayern München
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
3
7
5
5
4.5
3
7
8
2