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FC Cajamarca vs Melgar Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Primera Division 21-02-2026

FC Cajamarca

3 - 1

FT

Melgar

Carlos Sebastián Lozano Bedoya

Prediction published on Feb 19, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Feb 19, 2026 7:03 PM

The upcoming clash between FC Cajamarca and Melgar in the Peruvian Liga 1 promises to be an exciting encounter between two sides with very different starts to the season. The hosts are still searching for consistency after a slow beginning, while the visitors have been dominant and currently sit at the top of the table. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent matches, this fixture could deliver plenty of goalmouth action and drama from start to finish.


FC Cajamarca’s Recent Form and Key Stats


FC Cajamarca come into this match after a 2-0 defeat away to Sport Huancayo, a game in which they conceded both goals in the first half. That result left them with just two points from their opening three league fixtures, the product of two draws and one loss. Despite their struggles in defense, the team has shown flashes of attacking potential, having scored four goals so far this season while conceding six.


At home, Cajamarca tend to play with intensity and rarely fail to find the net. In fact, they have scored at least one goal in each of their last twelve home matches, a sign of their offensive consistency in front of their fans. However, their defensive fragility remains a concern, as they have allowed an average of two goals per game this season. Their recent record across all competitions shows one win, two draws, and two defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.



  • Ranking in Primera Division: 14th place

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 12 home matches

  • Under 0.5 total goals in only 3 of their last 12 matches

  • Average goals scored: 1.3 | Average conceded: 2.0


With their attacking style and home advantage, Cajamarca will look to press high and create chances early, hoping to capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents. The possible return of their top scorer, Hernán Barcos, could provide a much-needed boost to their offensive power.


Melgar’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Melgar arrive in excellent form after a commanding 4-0 home victory over UCV Moquegua. That result continued their perfect start to the season, with three wins from three matches, eight goals scored, and only one conceded. Their performances have been characterized by intensity, balance, and efficiency in both attack and defense.


Under the guidance of their current coach, Melgar have developed into a well-organized and confident side. Their last five matches across all competitions show four wins and one draw, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded per game. Away from home, they have also been solid, with only two of their last ten away fixtures producing fewer than 0.5 total goals, indicating that they often find ways to score even on the road.



  • Ranking in Primera Division: 1st place

  • Season record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses

  • Average goals scored: 2.7 | Average conceded: 0.3

  • Unbeaten in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw)


Melgar’s attacking rhythm and defensive discipline make them one of the most complete teams in the league at the moment. Their ability to control possession and transition quickly into attack could be decisive against a Cajamarca side that tends to leave spaces at the back.


FC Cajamarca vs Melgar Analysis and Prediction


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics: FC Cajamarca are still trying to find stability, while Melgar are flying high at the top of the table. The hosts will rely on their fighting spirit and home support to challenge the league leaders, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed by Melgar’s sharp attacking play.


Given the recent trends, goals are likely to feature prominently. Cajamarca have scored in all of their last twelve home games, while Melgar have averaged nearly three goals per match this season. Both sides have shown the ability to recover from setbacks and maintain attacking pressure throughout the ninety minutes. This combination suggests a lively contest with opportunities at both ends.


Historically, matches involving these two teams tend to be open and competitive, and this one should be no exception. Expect Melgar to control the tempo and create the clearer chances, but Cajamarca’s determination could make the game closer than the standings suggest.


FC Cajamarca vs Melgar prediction by BetMines:
The forecast points towards Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 47%, reflecting the attacking nature of both teams and their recent scoring form.

FC Cajamarca vs Melgar - Predictions

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FC Cajamarca vs Melgar: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

FC Cajamarca

Melgar

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of FC Cajamarca and Melgar in Primera Division

Apertura - Ranking

Team

5

Melgar

17

8

4

5

29:20

28

1.65

W
D
W
D
W
15

FC Cajamarca

17

4

5

8

23:28

17

1

W
W
W
D
D
Champion Play-off

Clausura - Ranking

Team

1

Melgar

0

0

0

0

0:0

0

-

-
18

FC Cajamarca

0

0

0

0

0:0

0

-

-
Champion Play-off

Who will win ?

FC Cajamarca vs Melgar: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will FC Cajamarca vs Melgar be played?
The Primera Division match between FC Cajamarca and Melgar will be played on February 21, 2026 at 18:00.
Who will referee FC Cajamarca vs Melgar?
The referee for the match will be Carlos Sebastián Lozano Bedoya.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for FC Cajamarca vs Melgar in the Primera Division?
The odds are: FC Cajamarca to win 3.75, draw 3.10, Melgar to win 1.95.
What are the betting odds for FC Cajamarca vs Melgar for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Primera Division?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.10 and Under 2.5 at 1.70.
Will both FC Cajamarca and Melgar score in the Primera Division?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.83, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.83.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Cajamarca vs Melgar in the Primera Division?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.5.

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